BernandoNaty
0xfab35bf158d00ac5ed441af33163d45afaf2dee0
- Realised P&L
- $48.64
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $608.73
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · No | 0.930 | 0.935 | $261.80 | +$1.40 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? · No | 0.910 | 0.905 | $181.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? · No | 0.910 | 0.615 | $110.70 | −$53.10 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · No | 0.913 | 0.987 | $55.23 | +$4.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.13at 0.924Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?
- +$22.51at 0.899Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 05:32 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $260.40 |
| 10-05 19:37 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $163.80 |
| 09-25 19:42 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $300.00 |
| 09-25 19:41 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.8946106862 | $200.00 |
| 09-25 19:23 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999975 | $15.00 |