0xb30764c533599d93f840623b1af19f806dc4c802
0xb30764c533599d93f840623b1af19f806dc4c802
- Realised P&L
- $-138.00
- Volume
- $5.2k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $993.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No | 0.926 | 0.999 | $539.29 | +$39.29 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · No | 0.883 | 0.745 | $253.03 | −$46.97 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? · No | 0.900 | 0.905 | $201.11 | +$1.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$55.56at 0.892Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?
- +$22.83at 0.870Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?
- +$20.89at 0.830Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?
- +$17.71at 0.896Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?
- +$17.42at 0.875Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 07:20 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.344979057 | $61.61 |
| 10-06 07:17 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.6206201978 | $180.12 |
| 10-06 04:54 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.4321953812 | $221.21 |
| 10-05 21:19 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999998 | $200.00 |
| 10-05 21:18 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.8399720007 | $150.00 |
| 10-05 18:43 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $200.00 |
| 10-05 14:38 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.9209442274 | $200.00 |
| 10-05 09:20 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.855131196 | $150.00 |
| 10-05 06:19 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999996 | $100.00 |
| 10-04 19:42 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.9298115146 | $200.00 |
| 10-04 18:57 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999972 | $200.00 |
| 10-04 18:53 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999998 | $300.00 |
| 10-04 06:34 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $100.00 |
| 10-03 23:55 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.9008154371 | $300.00 |
| 10-03 23:42 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999991 | $50.00 |