orange0001
0x6cb5d1d059e133cb905a2e987511cf0d32bdb230
- Realised P&L
- $-504.06
- Volume
- $67.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,514
- Open portfolio
- $57.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,514
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration6.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$122.00at 0.390Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?
- +$46.50at 0.690S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7?
- +$25.00at 0.500S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 16?
- +$25.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down on January 11?
- +$25.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down on January 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 03:05 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 03:05 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 03:01 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 03:00 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 10-06 03:00 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 03:00 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999816 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 03:00 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.8799997184 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 02:59 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.924 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 02:58 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 02:57 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 6? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 09:19 | Suzhou: Xinxin Yao vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 09:19 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jaume Munar | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 09:18 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 09:18 | NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 09:18 | Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.94 | $2.00 |