0xc94808872fea94415f2ba12dfbd19aba7deee6cd
0xc94808872fea94415f2ba12dfbd19aba7deee6cd
- Realised P&L
- $-47.20
- Volume
- $25.4k
- Markets traded
- 235
- Open portfolio
- $955.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded235
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$59.65at 0.384Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?
- +$51.55at 0.741Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?
- +$44.74at 0.583Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?
- +$41.32at 0.373Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?
- +$40.14at 0.663US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 07:50 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999995 | $71.20 |
| 11-01 02:05 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.9263575117 | $63.58 |
| 11-01 02:03 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999999 | $64.22 |
| 11-01 01:56 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.9209999997 | $53.56 |
| 11-01 01:56 | Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $48.00 |
| 10-31 10:21 | Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999993 | $53.09 |
| 10-31 10:11 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $54.17 |
| 10-31 10:06 | Will White House post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999989 | $54.17 |
| 10-31 09:57 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.909999999 | $54.17 |
| 10-31 02:29 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $63.14 |
| 10-31 02:28 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $63.14 |
| 10-31 02:26 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.9159999988 | $63.14 |
| 10-31 02:20 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.1171650598 | $44.48 |
| 10-31 02:20 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.0827649529 | $31.73 |
| 10-31 02:19 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.8412213143 | $49.41 |