0xa1236b376e6813859f2e7ace4af8bec3ee153fd6
0xa1236b376e6813859f2e7ace4af8bec3ee153fd6
- Realised P&L
- $-118.76
- Volume
- $8.0k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · No | 0.896 | 0.745 | $277.31 | −$56.19 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? · No | 0.855 | 0.615 | $222.22 | −$86.78 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.338 | 0.671 | $198.27 | +$98.27 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.255 | $106.25 | +$6.25 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.385 | $104.05 | +$4.05 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? · No | 0.910 | 0.905 | $99.45 | −$0.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$55.83at 0.839Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?
- +$54.03at 0.878Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?
- +$46.42at 0.889Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?
- +$36.79at 0.904Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?
- +$32.07at 0.848Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 06:56 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.369999999 | $100.00 |
| 10-06 06:25 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999998 | $100.00 |
| 10-06 04:52 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.4781333333 | $143.44 |
| 10-06 03:07 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.3384311122 | $100.00 |
| 10-06 02:40 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999998 | $109.00 |
| 10-05 18:01 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $100.00 |
| 10-05 09:28 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.8373009349 | $85.00 |
| 10-05 09:25 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.8293640539 | $91.29 |
| 10-04 19:31 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $200.00 |
| 10-04 17:47 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.887 | $177.40 |
| 10-03 17:55 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $200.00 |
| 10-02 08:07 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.5056340144 | $134.62 |
| 10-02 04:06 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.3755901089 | $100.00 |
| 10-01 20:31 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.1001333333 | $30.04 |
| 10-01 20:24 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.1010136 | $30.30 |