Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-07
Resolves by: https://x.com/elonmusk
Rewards: 50 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.35. up 0.13 over the period, from 0.23. Range 0.04 to 0.35. 63 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.36	10	10
0.37	994	1,004
0.38	115	1,119
0.39	876	1,996
0.40	727	2,723
0.41	797	3,520
0.42	95	3,615
0.43	143	3,758
0.44	500	4,258
0.45	225	4,483
0.46	140	4,623
0.48	100	4,723

Spread0.01Mid0.35

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.35	311	311
0.34	228	539
0.33	200	739
0.32	332	1,071
0.31	100	1,171
0.29	165	1,336
0.28	288	1,624
0.27	583	2,207
0.26	60	2,267
0.25	637	2,904
0.20	16	2,920
0.19	210	3,130

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.65	311	311
0.66	228	539
0.67	200	739
0.68	332	1,071
0.69	100	1,171
0.71	165	1,336
0.72	288	1,624
0.73	583	2,207
0.74	60	2,267
0.75	637	2,904
0.80	16	2,920
0.81	210	3,130

Spread0.01Mid0.65

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.64	10	10
0.63	994	1,004
0.62	115	1,119
0.61	876	1,996
0.60	727	2,723
0.59	797	3,520
0.58	95	3,615
0.57	143	3,758
0.56	500	4,258
0.55	225	4,483
0.54	140	4,623
0.52	100	4,723

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
ElonJail	Yes	4,291.36
Sugarina	Yes	3,000
Kaiji123	Yes	2,999.99
RickRockRick	Yes	2,800
Mac-Gyver	Yes	2,618.71
Mei-ji	Yes	2,309.31
smalltimezzz	Yes	2,114.17
InsideR5	Yes	1,899.71
gordontradedc	Yes	1,398.98
0xf452408fAa1A0eEDAd591f65D8F5F5c7bbC58FF9-1764228314605	Yes	948.91
0x8F8793088dF893D5Cae27F520d43282f8F092b4D-1779010038488	Yes	576.37
fishpapav	Yes	535.34
Panopticon007	Yes	500
0xdcE0d1016eaD1525fC8c7b6513f989a60fF02DAF-1757924374902	Yes	419.99
Sarths	Yes	417.05
dukies	Yes	399.98
exponentially	Yes	368.09
SupremeGambler	Yes	334.99
Zenef	Yes	327.39
amy888	Yes	299.99

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
05:50:21	BUY	Yes	0.359140733	535	$192.26
05:45:45	BUY	Yes	0.33	5	$1.65
05:45:28	BUY	Yes	0.33	6	$1.98
05:44:15	BUY	Yes	0.3469994901	576	$200.00
05:38:00	BUY	Yes	0.3099999954	32	$10.00
05:32:00	BUY	No	0.7	32	$22.63
05:31:45	BUY	No	0.7	1	$1.00
05:31:06	BUY	No	0.7	1	$1.00
05:30:48	BUY	No	0.7	1	$1.00
05:30:48	BUY	Yes	0.3099999473	3	$1.00
05:30:48	BUY	No	0.7	1	$1.00
05:29:15	BUY	No	0.7	20	$14.00
05:29:06	SELL	Yes	0.3	25	$7.50
05:28:45	BUY	Yes	0.3099999473	3	$1.00
05:28:45	BUY	Yes	0.3099999473	3	$1.00
05:25:13	BUY	Yes	0.3099999986	97	$30.00
05:23:51	BUY	Yes	0.31	111	$34.41
05:23:40	BUY	Yes	0.31	50	$15.50
05:16:24	BUY	No	0.7	14	$10.00
05:16:12	BUY	Yes	0.3	224	$67.13
05:08:28	BUY	Yes	0.2965403527	20	$6.00
04:59:10	BUY	Yes	0.2805836139	18	$5.00
04:36:33	BUY	Yes	0.28	8	$2.10
04:36:06	BUY	Yes	0.2799999925	11	$3.00
04:35:51	BUY	Yes	0.2697452099	392	$105.87