PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

exponentially

0xa2d71813dc3857e582130015bd60e5edb61ee3b7

Realised P&L
$832.00
Volume
$1.37M
Markets traded
718
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded718
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes0.0730.649$447.74+$397.46
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? · Yes0.1110.355$130.67+$89.67
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No0.5980.979$122.37+$47.53
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No0.4250.675$119.58+$44.19
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? · No0.3770.455$83.99+$14.46
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · No0.8690.925$74.26+$4.51
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · No0.9330.987$66.85+$3.61
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No0.8950.999$66.64+$6.93
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes0.2560.325$63.13+$13.47
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · No0.8740.883$52.94+$0.55
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · No0.9430.970$52.74+$1.44
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? · No0.6970.935$51.84+$13.21
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes0.2300.245$21.25+$1.30
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · No0.7200.775$15.54+$1.10
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes0.2140.225$3.09+$0.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 16:44Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?SELL0.44$2.09
10-04 08:46Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?SELL0.67$2.85
10-03 23:31Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?SELL0.65$3.08
09-29 19:46Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?SELL0.783$1.05
09-29 17:11Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?SELL0.84$8.80
09-29 16:04Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?SELL0.989$18.39
09-29 14:14Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?SELL0.989$8.52
09-29 11:53Will Elon tweet 960-999 times in September 2026?SELL0.986$11.68
09-29 11:52Will Elon tweet 960-999 times in September 2026?SELL0.986$8.10
09-29 09:47Will Elon tweet 960-999 times in September 2026?SELL0.984$8.09
09-29 09:46Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?SELL0.994$7.05
09-28 17:40Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?SELL0.97$10.30
09-28 17:36Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?SELL0.97$6.70
09-28 17:26Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?SELL0.969$6.71
09-28 16:56Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?SELL0.962$6.67