exponentially
0xa2d71813dc3857e582130015bd60e5edb61ee3b7
- Realised P&L
- $832.00
- Volume
- $1.37M
- Markets traded
- 718
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded718
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.317Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
- +$1.2kat 0.386Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
- +$827.02at 0.500Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
- +$678.80at 0.689Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?
- +$657.45at 0.793Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 16:44 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.44 | $2.09 |
| 10-04 08:46 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $2.85 |
| 10-03 23:31 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? | SELL | 0.65 | $3.08 |
| 09-29 19:46 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.783 | $1.05 |
| 09-29 17:11 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $8.80 |
| 09-29 16:04 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.989 | $18.39 |
| 09-29 14:14 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.989 | $8.52 |
| 09-29 11:53 | Will Elon tweet 960-999 times in September 2026? | SELL | 0.986 | $11.68 |
| 09-29 11:52 | Will Elon tweet 960-999 times in September 2026? | SELL | 0.986 | $8.10 |
| 09-29 09:47 | Will Elon tweet 960-999 times in September 2026? | SELL | 0.984 | $8.09 |
| 09-29 09:46 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | SELL | 0.994 | $7.05 |
| 09-28 17:40 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | SELL | 0.97 | $10.30 |
| 09-28 17:36 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | SELL | 0.97 | $6.70 |
| 09-28 17:26 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | SELL | 0.969 | $6.71 |
| 09-28 16:56 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | SELL | 0.962 | $6.67 |