0x8F8793088dF893D5Cae27F520d43282f8F092b4D-1779010038488
0x8f8793088df893d5cae27f520d43282f8f092b4d
- Realised P&L
- $-4.0k
- Volume
- $314.8k
- Markets traded
- 374
- Open portfolio
- $205.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded374
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$628.09at 0.251Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 18?
- +$626.17at 0.252Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 18?
- +$606.14at 0.258Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 August 17-23?
- +$567.81at 0.270Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 21?
- +$550.53at 0.271Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 04:03 | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.5799999991 | $200.00 |
| 10-05 11:57 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.4747502857 | $224.34 |
| 10-05 09:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 5? | SELL | 0.42 | $254.55 |
| 10-05 05:17 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999999 | $200.00 |
| 10-05 05:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.3299999995 | $200.00 |
| 10-04 20:30 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | SELL | 0.53 | $14.28 |
| 10-04 20:29 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | SELL | 0.5390647804 | $192.81 |
| 10-04 20:29 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.3702157872 | $189.85 |
| 10-04 20:29 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | SELL | 0.6 | $190.48 |
| 10-04 20:29 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.3546129332 | $179.15 |
| 10-04 17:53 | Packers vs. Buccaneers | SELL | 0.69 | $226.22 |
| 10-04 13:55 | Colts vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5 | SELL | 0.44 | $169.22 |
| 10-04 12:59 | Colts vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $199.99 |
| 10-04 12:56 | Colts vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5 | SELL | 0.51 | $201.91 |
| 10-04 09:56 | Colts vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5 | BUY | 0.4899999992 | $194.00 |