PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8F8793088dF893D5Cae27F520d43282f8F092b4D-1779010038488

0x8f8793088df893d5cae27f520d43282f8f092b4d

Realised P&L
$-4.0k
Volume
$314.8k
Markets traded
374
Open portfolio
$205.17

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded374
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-10-06? · Yes0.5800.595$205.17+$5.17
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B · Bilibili Gaming Junior0.5100.000$0.00−$175.58
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend · ThunderTalk Gaming0.5600.000$0.00−$200.00
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5) · FK Bodø/Glimt0.5480.000$0.00−$186.84
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-08-02? · No0.5300.000$0.00−$200.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2180.000$0.00−$10.00
Games Total: O/U 4.5 · Over0.4970.000$0.00−$198.67
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sinners (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs · Alliance0.5160.000$0.00−$194.84
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? · Yes0.3450.000$0.00−$200.00
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha · Nongshim RedForce0.6400.000$0.00−$200.00
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier · Sinners0.4100.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04? · Yes0.6800.000$0.00−$200.00
Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5) · Galatasaray SK0.5200.000$0.00−$200.00
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend · JD Gaming0.5300.000$0.00−$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 04:03Will Korea Republic win on 2026-10-06?BUY0.5799999991$200.00
10-05 11:57Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?SELL0.4747502857$224.34
10-05 09:22Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 5?SELL0.42$254.55
10-05 05:17Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.3899999999$200.00
10-05 05:14Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 5?BUY0.3299999995$200.00
10-04 20:30Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?SELL0.53$14.28
10-04 20:29Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?SELL0.5390647804$192.81
10-04 20:29Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.3702157872$189.85
10-04 20:29Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?SELL0.6$190.48
10-04 20:29Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.3546129332$179.15
10-04 17:53Packers vs. BuccaneersSELL0.69$226.22
10-04 13:55Colts vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5SELL0.44$169.22
10-04 12:59Colts vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5BUY0.52$199.99
10-04 12:56Colts vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5SELL0.51$201.91
10-04 09:56Colts vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5BUY0.4899999992$194.00