0xf452408fAa1A0eEDAd591f65D8F5F5c7bbC58FF9-1764228314605
0xf452408faa1a0eedad591f65d8f5f5c7bbc58ff9
- Realised P&L
- $-5.3k
- Volume
- $1.28M
- Markets traded
- 383
- Open portfolio
- $284.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded383
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.9kat 0.036Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
- +$2.8kat 0.012Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?
- +$1.8kat 0.427Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?
- +$1.6kat 0.674Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
- +$1.5kat 0.274Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 17:08 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.029 | $4.51 |
| 10-02 17:06 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.0282961333 | $8.49 |
| 10-02 17:05 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.0265666338 | $13.46 |
| 10-02 16:10 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.0934522786 | $32.61 |
| 10-02 16:08 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.016379249 | $3.68 |
| 10-02 14:56 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $95.00 |
| 10-02 14:55 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.1079383871 | $16.73 |
| 10-02 14:55 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.10753295 | $21.51 |
| 10-02 14:51 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $60.13 |
| 10-02 02:45 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.123 | $42.40 |
| 10-02 00:11 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.159 | $47.70 |
| 10-01 21:29 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.1257979 | $12.58 |
| 10-01 21:29 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.12890075 | $30.94 |
| 10-01 21:13 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $18.00 |
| 10-01 21:12 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.1542976295 | $17.57 |