Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-05
Resolves by: https://x.com/elonmusk

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.002. down 0.024 over the period, from 0.026. Range 0.001 to 0.026. 49 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.002	426	426
0.003	200	626
0.004	208	834
0.005	200	1,034
0.006	5	1,039
0.007	200	1,239
0.008	5	1,244
0.009	5	1,249
0.010	50	1,299
0.011	140	1,439
0.019	124	1,563
0.020	225	1,788

Spread0.001Mid0.002

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.001	12	12

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.999	12	12

Spread0.001Mid0.998

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.998	426	426
0.997	200	626
0.996	208	834
0.995	200	1,034
0.994	5	1,039
0.993	200	1,239
0.992	5	1,244
0.991	5	1,249
0.990	50	1,299
0.989	140	1,439
0.981	124	1,563
0.980	225	1,788

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
ihrekunst	Yes	6,000
fghsrthrhrshrsth	Yes	2,000
smalltimezzz	Yes	1,584.02
0x97f5DC56451AB910E0640252db5dd1C42448E06A-1767748521240	Yes	530
0x456a059a925cb9131e501A90C609b8544cB76105-1769700306066	Yes	500
Feracios	Yes	500
MartinPNZ	Yes	500
kegeI	Yes	400.4
WarriorH	Yes	215
Lucerys	Yes	150
0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256	Yes	150
ConfusedUngaBunga	Yes	140
stompychan	Yes	101
a5533	Yes	51.49
youtube-trader	Yes	50
plainfolder	Yes	50
donthackme	Yes	47.69
neverhackme	Yes	40
whereismymoney	Yes	20
Sell.Max	Yes	18

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
15:31:20	BUY	Yes	0.001	101	$0.10
07:58:23	SELL	No	0.999	530	$529.47
04:56:42	BUY	No	0.999	1,081	$1080.34
23:31:36	BUY	Yes	0.002	530	$1.06
18:11:35	SELL	Yes	0.001	791	$0.79
18:11:12	BUY	No	0.999	3,000	$2997.00
15:52:14	BUY	No	0.999	20	$19.98
10:29:20	BUY	No	0.999	2,116	$2113.69
07:50:42	BUY	No	0.999	115	$114.44
07:50:42	BUY	No	0.999	22	$22.11
07:50:42	BUY	No	0.999	6	$6.13
07:50:42	BUY	No	0.999	5	$5.07
05:17:27	BUY	No	0.999	37	$36.62
05:17:27	BUY	No	0.999	5	$5.00
05:17:27	BUY	No	0.999	14	$14.05
02:06:02	BUY	No	0.999	10	$10.25
16:16:44	SELL	Yes	0.01	50	$0.50
16:13:47	BUY	No	0.99	30	$29.70
16:11:21	BUY	No	0.99	70	$69.30