kegeI
0xbdca26880f635f7cf20450b67c33f6d06c91bada
- Realised P&L
- $237.36
- Volume
- $173.4k
- Markets traded
- 591
- Open portfolio
- $316.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded591
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$613.03at 0.110Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?
- +$433.84at 0.055Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$430.30at 0.054Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?
- +$415.75at 0.062Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?
- +$380.19at 0.059Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 08:17 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $124.37 |
| 10-02 08:15 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $400.00 |
| 10-02 08:05 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.534614807 | $227.83 |
| 10-02 01:39 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.0992260472 | $42.29 |
| 10-01 20:33 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.2571392702 | $109.58 |
| 10-01 20:33 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.016 | $6.82 |
| 10-01 20:32 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.9972960258 | $425.00 |
| 10-01 20:32 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.5837268991 | $248.58 |
| 10-01 20:31 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.2668930375 | $113.66 |
| 10-01 18:16 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $46.84 |
| 09-30 16:08 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $25.55 |
| 09-30 16:07 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.0455518375 | $19.40 |
| 09-30 16:07 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $1.28 |
| 09-30 16:07 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.0082263238 | $3.50 |
| 09-30 16:06 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $425.00 |