PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Feracios

0xb8160e163095a36c657deb0a436ccc9e67f39e90

Realised P&L
$3.4k
Volume
$659.8k
Markets traded
1,180
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,180
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration74.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? · No0.8951.000$499.75+$52.16
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes0.0550.695$347.50+$319.78
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Team Cobra - Game 2 Winner · Team Cobra0.8341.000$215.60+$35.60
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes0.0550.305$152.50+$124.78
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · No0.8700.855$98.28$1.72
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 22, 2026? · Yes0.9620.993$30.59+$0.96
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winner · Team Lynx0.9241.000$21.63+$1.63
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes0.0550.013$6.75$20.97
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes0.0550.001$0.25$27.47
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes0.0550.001$0.25$27.47
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes0.0550.001$0.25$27.47
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes0.0550.001$0.25$27.47
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes0.0550.001$0.25$27.47
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes0.0550.001$0.25$27.47
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes0.0550.001$0.25$27.47

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 11:37Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Team Lynx - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.9242236002$20.00
09-22 11:31Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Team Cobra - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.8799999965$20.00
09-22 11:27Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Team Cobra - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.8199999967$10.00
09-22 11:26Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Team Cobra - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.8297234251$150.00
09-22 11:23Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Team Cobra - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.1237043996$15.80
09-22 11:08Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Team Cobra - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.629999995$5.00
09-22 11:02Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Team Cobra - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.9$10.00
09-22 11:00Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Team Cobra - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.919999993$100.00
09-22 10:00Counter-Strike: Saint Sinners vs KUUSAMO.gg (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #10 Group ABUY0.01$1.00
09-22 09:59Counter-Strike: Saint Sinners vs KUUSAMO.gg - Map 2 WinnerSELL0.06$4.77
09-22 09:46Counter-Strike: Saint Sinners vs KUUSAMO.gg (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #10 Group ABUY0.13$1.04
09-22 09:44Counter-Strike: Saint Sinners vs KUUSAMO.gg (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #10 Group ABUY0.16$1.00
09-22 09:39Counter-Strike: Saint Sinners vs KUUSAMO.gg (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #10 Group ABUY0.1499999925$1.00
09-22 09:37Counter-Strike: Saint Sinners vs KUUSAMO.gg (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #10 Group ABUY0.1899999962$5.00
09-22 09:32Counter-Strike: Saint Sinners vs KUUSAMO.gg (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #10 Group ABUY0.198019802$10.00