0x97f5DC56451AB910E0640252db5dd1C42448E06A-1767748521240
0x96e91c8ced194f4e7732c0b2e5676222ec50c01d
- Realised P&L
- $13.46
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $57.70
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? · No | 0.720 | 0.715 | $29.79 | −$0.21 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 4? · Yes | 0.944 | 0.967 | $9.87 | +$0.23 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.347 | 0.355 | $5.52 | +$0.12 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 5? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.950 | $4.85 | +$0.05 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.297 | 0.290 | $4.54 | −$0.11 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.197 | 0.195 | $3.12 | −$0.03 |
| FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year? · No | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 29? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.89at 0.033FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
- +$-0.20at 0.127Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 14:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.9399999961 | $4.80 |
| 10-01 14:05 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999848 | $1.90 |
| 10-01 14:05 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2999999625 | $1.60 |
| 10-01 14:05 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1909090909 | $1.05 |
| 10-01 13:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 4? | BUY | 0.9459999926 | $4.83 |
| 10-01 13:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3605127706 | $1.90 |
| 10-01 13:24 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2999999625 | $1.60 |
| 10-01 13:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1909090909 | $1.05 |
| 09-30 15:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 4? | BUY | 0.941999998 | $4.81 |
| 09-29 14:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.75 |
| 09-29 13:45 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 09-29 13:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 09-29 13:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 09-29 03:06 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 09-29 03:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $1.05 |