Will Claude Opus 5.6+ debut at an output token price of at least $30 by June 30, 2027?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-07-01
Resolves by: https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricing
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.126. up 0.052 over the period, from 0.074. Range 0.074 to 0.245. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.126	212	212
0.129	36	248
0.133	201	449
0.140	100	549
0.164	22	571
0.223	9	580
0.224	20	600
0.736	25	625
0.737	15	640
0.739	20	660
0.740	80	740
0.747	20	760

Spread0.001Mid0.126

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.125	55	55
0.113	46	101
0.112	200	300
0.028	21	321
0.027	130	450
0.011	9	460
0.010	10	470
0.007	7	476
0.006	9	485
0.005	7	493
0.004	50	543
0.003	213	755

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.875	55	55
0.887	46	101
0.888	200	300
0.972	21	321
0.973	130	450
0.989	9	460
0.990	10	470
0.993	7	476
0.994	9	485
0.995	7	493
0.996	50	543
0.997	213	755

Spread0.001Mid0.875

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.874	212	212
0.871	36	248
0.867	201	449
0.860	100	549
0.836	22	571
0.777	9	580
0.776	20	600
0.264	25	625
0.263	15	640
0.261	20	660
0.260	80	740
0.253	20	760

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Dr.PNL	Yes	187.48
AJSV	Yes	118.12
0xF08c5A06964aAeC6E15EeB07e12E3A4B863f3295-1776713030461	Yes	100
alamedamemola	Yes	65.26
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	65
galhammerman	Yes	40
ZhouCD	Yes	30
romanew-1-new	Yes	25
gfdgfvfvssdd	Yes	25
0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F	Yes	22
platayplata	Yes	20
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9	Yes	20
ACara	Yes	20
UpTheStairs	Yes	20
newbiewin	Yes	20
smarterstrat	Yes	20
Majas	Yes	14.01
GuyFromTinder	Yes	3.86
Trading4Fridge	No	533.72
zctrading	No	282

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
15:03:09	SELL	No	0.873	1	$1.09
10:49:10	SELL	Yes	0.126	20	$2.52
10:47:25	BUY	No	0.875	1	$1.10
10:47:25	BUY	No	0.875	24	$21.00
10:47:25	BUY	No	0.875	40	$35.00
10:47:25	BUY	No	0.82928959	534	$442.61
04:02:11	BUY	Yes	0.18	40	$7.20
22:25:26	SELL	Yes	0.174	20	$3.48
22:24:49	SELL	Yes	0.17	20	$3.40
22:24:47	BUY	No	0.808	20	$16.16
17:45:53	BUY	Yes	0.175	20	$3.50
07:33:50	BUY	Yes	0.172	20	$3.44
07:33:50	BUY	Yes	0.1719999993	28	$4.84
14:05:06	BUY	Yes	0.183	10	$1.83
07:58:56	BUY	No	0.776	20	$15.52
07:58:51	BUY	No	0.771	20	$15.42
07:58:50	SELL	Yes	0.229	50	$11.45
02:14:29	SELL	Yes	0.101	10	$1.01
08:28:23	SELL	Yes	0.0746666667	30	$2.24
00:17:24	SELL	No	0.759	20	$15.18
00:17:21	BUY	No	0.706	20	$14.12
22:38:29	BUY	Yes	0.17	20	$3.40
18:23:23	BUY	Yes	0.14	40	$5.60
07:26:30	BUY	No	0.75	65	$48.75
12:49:27	BUY	No	0.6	40	$24.00