PolyBot

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Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 42% and 45% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-05
Rewards
90 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.40. up 0.14 over the period, from 0.26. Range 0.23 to 0.46. 143 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.404949
0.41185234
0.4241275
0.431,4001,674
0.44361,710
0.455172,227
0.463502,578
0.471332,710
0.48152,726
0.49642,790
0.50842,874
0.51842,958

Spread0.01Mid0.40

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.39196196
0.38117313
0.37117430
0.36118548
0.3529576
0.3429606
0.3330636
0.3231667
0.2420687
0.1825712
0.1677790
0.153331,123

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.61196196
0.62117313
0.63117430
0.64118548
0.6529576
0.6629606
0.6730636
0.6831667
0.7620687
0.8225712
0.8477790
0.853331,123

Spread0.01Mid0.60

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.604949
0.59185234
0.5841275
0.571,4001,674
0.56361,710
0.555172,227
0.543502,578
0.531332,710
0.52152,726
0.51642,790
0.50842,874
0.49842,958

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
bancomasterYes1,394.51
Seeking-Alpha01Yes1,256.73
OswaldMcFurtherYes540.54
GroovyCr0c0dil3Yes400.2
RenanPresidente.Yes265
jorgeffrizoYes182.93
HaradwaithYes139.98
xdxd88Yes100
tradetosurvive1Yes87.02
HerrieDavisYes50.62
colonoYes45
gat1121Yes27.78
neverhackmeYes27.53
0xfF13427D6893394169E0a4b6a382c64b4F686d35-1762208090354Yes12.38
bbd113dYes10
balthazarYes9.2
rasvpYes8.18
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9Yes5
random-random123Yes2.44
RickizinYes2.38

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
13:28:43BUYNo0.6120$12.20
11:56:46BUYYes0.4099999984183$75.00
11:24:13BUYNo0.614$8.52
11:24:13BUYNo0.616$9.48
11:24:13BUYNo0.610$6.00
11:16:16BUYNo0.620$12.00
10:41:08SELLYes0.465$26.00
08:57:17BUYYes0.41999989082$1.00
01:44:49BUYYes0.403846133712$5.00
01:23:01BUYNo0.5760$34.20
01:21:44BUYNo0.56235$131.60
00:29:01BUYYes0.45999997158$3.87
00:28:01BUYNo0.5625$14.00
22:46:46BUYNo0.5813$7.54
22:46:44BUYNo0.585$2.90
22:46:44BUYNo0.5810$5.80
20:51:53BUYNo0.5948$28.38
20:37:25SELLNo0.59100$59.00
20:36:55BUYYes0.41213637688$3.37
20:36:52BUYYes0.40999989752$1.00
20:36:49BUYYes0.40995440551,257$515.20
20:36:49BUYYes0.42114$47.88
18:12:45SELLYes0.3860$22.80
16:25:48SELLNo0.6260$37.20
16:25:24SELLNo0.63500$315.10