PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

xdxd88

0x90a28566e700d35551f299bf44aba4f21a45be58

Realised P&L
$90.65
Volume
$1.8k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$435.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election? · Yes0.4320.525$84.19+$14.89
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? · Yes0.3520.320$70.40−$7.00
Will Dr. Daniel Santos win the Governor of Pará election? · No0.4700.430$43.00−$4.00
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 42% and 45% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4000.395$39.50−$0.50
Will Jose Medeiros win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election? · Yes0.1700.382$26.70+$14.80
Will Augusto Cury finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3500.395$19.75+$2.25
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2350.379$19.01+$7.20
Will Renan Santos finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3200.300$15.00−$1.00
Will Simone Tebet win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? · Yes0.0990.165$14.60+$5.84
Will Leila do Vôlei win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? · Yes0.1700.110$12.87−$7.02
Will Renan Santos win less than 2% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0840.148$11.88+$5.19
Will Carlos Viana win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election? · Yes0.1310.118$11.14−$1.16
Will Humberto Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election? · Yes0.2000.186$10.60−$0.81
Will Jaques Wagner win the second-most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election? · No0.2100.205$10.25−$0.25
Will Deltan Dallagnol win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election? · No0.5000.405$10.13−$2.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 01:20Will Carlos Viana win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?BUY0.39$7.80
10-04 01:19Will Carlos Viana win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?BUY0.074$3.70
10-04 01:15Will Carlos Viana win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?BUY0.26$1.56
10-04 01:11Will Alexandre Curi win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?BUY0.33$3.63
10-04 01:11Will Alexandre Curi win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?BUY0.2976923077$7.74
10-03 23:41LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 4 WinnerSELL0.999$49.95
10-03 23:40LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS PlayoffsSELL0.999$49.95
10-03 22:29Will Renan Santos finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.32$16.00
10-03 22:07Will Carlos Viana win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?BUY0.1954877273$8.60
10-03 21:49LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.999$74.92
10-03 21:09LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.4$20.00
10-03 21:05LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.53$13.25
10-03 20:03Will Marília Arraes win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?BUY0.285$6.22
10-03 19:52Will Humberto Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?BUY0.201$3.22
10-03 19:52Will Humberto Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?BUY0.2$8.20