0xfF13427D6893394169E0a4b6a382c64b4F686d35-1762208090354
0xff13427d6893394169e0a4b6a382c64b4f686d35
- Realised P&L
- $-140.09
- Volume
- $40.7k
- Markets traded
- 320
- Open portfolio
- $132.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded320
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$112.18at 0.236Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$57.54at 0.005Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$42.07at 0.596Will João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
- +$23.28at 0.590Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
- +$21.41at 0.600Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 09:19 | Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1017009442 | $111.49 |
| 08-03 02:31 | Will Renan Santos qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | SELL | 0.1 | $71.76 |
| 08-03 01:48 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.1825288454 | $47.78 |
| 08-02 17:52 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m? | SELL | 0.006 | $1.18 |
| 08-01 15:47 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m? | BUY | 0.2799999967 | $54.96 |
| 08-01 04:31 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m? | SELL | 0.3047490228 | $59.26 |
| 08-01 03:08 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m? | BUY | 0.329999994 | $28.21 |
| 07-30 22:45 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m? | BUY | 0.4599999982 | $50.12 |
| 07-30 22:42 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m? | SELL | 0.0566312109 | $10.85 |
| 07-30 15:58 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m? | BUY | 0.0763173942 | $9.50 |
| 07-29 23:39 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m? | BUY | 0.1389999875 | $9.33 |
| 07-29 17:47 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m? | BUY | 0.1536568379 | $18.34 |
| 07-27 00:50 | Will Benoni Mendes win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.07 | $4.06 |
| 07-27 00:48 | Will Colonel Busnello win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | BUY | 0.0375999965 | $10.00 |
| 07-27 00:48 | Will Benoni Mendes win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.0392896799 | $5.00 |