PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xfF13427D6893394169E0a4b6a382c64b4F686d35-1762208090354

0xff13427d6893394169e0a4b6a382c64b4f686d35

Realised P&L
$-327.82
Volume
$46.0k
Markets traded
337
Open portfolio
$273.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded337
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4660.465$96.91−$0.18
Will voter turnout in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 78-80%? · Yes0.4140.585$49.45+$14.45
Will Renan Santos win between 4% and 6% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.1500.180$18.00+$3.00
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins? · Yes0.6000.360$17.84−$11.90
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · Yes0.6200.645$16.17+$0.63
Will Carlos Jordy win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election? · Yes0.4000.640$15.69+$5.88
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais? · Yes0.5700.540$15.26−$0.84
Will Renan Santos win between 6% and 8% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.1020.061$13.23−$8.66
Will Gustavo Gayer win the most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election? · Yes0.4300.405$7.53−$0.47
Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0580.036$5.83−$3.46
Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election? · Yes0.4600.525$5.71+$0.71
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 42% and 45% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4040.395$4.89−$0.11
Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? · Yes0.3700.290$3.92−$1.08
Will Alexandre Curi win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election? · Yes0.4100.155$2.59−$4.27
Will Wilder Morais win the Governor of Goiás election? · Yes0.0110.006$0.54−$0.46

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 15:05Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4699999919$9.26
10-04 01:46Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?BUY0.619999988$15.54
10-04 01:44Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 42% and 45% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4038461337$5.00
10-04 01:42Will Domingos Sávio win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?SELL0.78$21.05
10-04 01:15Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.529999998$18.17
10-04 01:08Will Domingos Sávio win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?SELL0.78$18.69
10-04 00:39Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?BUY0.5698159569$16.10
10-04 00:38Will Domingos Sávio win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?SELL0.78$11.70
10-04 00:08Will Alexandre Curi win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?BUY0.4099999833$6.86
10-04 00:01Will Esperidião Amin win the second-most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?SELL0.3$7.24
10-03 23:39Will Gustavo Gayer win the most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?BUY0.4299999807$8.00
10-03 23:35Will Renan Santos win between 4% and 6% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.15$15.00
10-03 15:11Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0545925916$1.34
10-03 15:11Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.6$0.60
10-03 15:10Will Renan Santos win between 6% and 8% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0613819571$4.92