rasvp
0x6a605aa1048e20feca3c65be5da2f9de1570ea7d
- Realised P&L
- $-450.88
- Volume
- $24.2k
- Markets traded
- 619
- Open portfolio
- $235.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded619
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$60.74at 0.397Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
- +$47.50at 0.513Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
- +$43.13at 0.336Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
- +$41.00at 0.590Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
- +$35.70at 0.661Kings vs. Clippers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 09:27 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.43 | $2.46 |
| 11-01 19:46 | Will Ashton Jeanty have 774.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.5 | $3.21 |
| 11-01 13:01 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.917 | $4.58 |
| 11-01 12:04 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 11-01 12:03 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.92 | $5.84 |
| 11-01 12:01 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 11-01 02:55 | Will Yaxel Lendeborg win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | BUY | 0.8409999876 | $6.62 |
| 10-31 20:20 | Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $1.33 |
| 10-31 19:18 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 10-31 16:59 | Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31? | SELL | 0.984 | $9.59 |
| 10-31 09:17 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 31? | SELL | 0.67 | $4.93 |
| 10-31 08:26 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 10-31 08:22 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.539 | $6.17 |
| 10-30 04:35 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.104 | $1.33 |
| 10-30 04:34 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1562932737 | $1.00 |