PolyBot

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Will the biggest earthquake on September 29, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-30
Resolves by
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.17. down 0.17 over the period, from 0.34. Range 0.17 to 0.47. 7 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.317171
0.322091
0.3440131
0.3560191
0.3620211
0.4060271
0.4240311
0.6320331
0.9861392
0.99205597

Spread0.28Mid0.17

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.034040
0.022060
0.01260320

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.974040
0.982060
0.99260320

Spread0.28Mid0.83

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.697171
0.682091
0.6640131
0.6560191
0.6420211
0.6060271
0.5840311
0.3720331
0.0261392
0.01205597

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x9a9EcCC770987aF75fbC850cb9d2F7BEe23Cc6E9-1768170850546Yes100.73
jazz2legsYes64.94
0x3ff7…2fa2Yes61.27
aHjCzYes40
lissartterYes28.22
buyat89Yes22.86
Specialist200303Yes20.48
rubby1337Yes20.37
cactus-testYes20
bechamelYes20
zeitfi-vault-v2Yes2.51
T22222222222Yes1.12
HaradwaithNo80
Sale2723No73.31
flywheelpolyNo65.1
physical-geographerNo46.48
rocky42014No42
0xa5ef…2966No33.1
pootytherewardfarmerNo22.5
tradetosurvive1No20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
09:59:14SELLYes0.3140$12.40
09:44:45BUYYes0.3258527804101$33.00
09:23:18BUYYes0.3220$6.40
09:21:45BUYYes0.320$6.14
09:20:38BUYYes0.2440$9.60
09:19:15BUYYes0.1720$3.40
09:18:32SELLYes0.287$2.01
09:13:47BUYYes0.2320$4.60
09:12:47BUYYes0.2320$4.60
09:12:20SELLYes0.3660$21.60
09:11:00BUYNo0.6220$12.11
09:06:45BUYYes0.367$2.58
09:05:51SELLYes0.4547626207346$157.28
09:05:50BUYNo0.5420$10.80
08:26:47BUYYes0.4415$6.60
08:25:14SELLNo0.565$2.86
08:21:59BUYYes0.4320$8.60
08:21:33SELLYes0.4742$19.94
08:21:20BUYNo0.375$1.85
08:20:00BUYNo0.385$1.94
08:18:24SELLYes0.6120$12.20
08:14:38SELLYes0.6220$12.40
08:13:54SELLNo0.392$0.97
08:13:51BUYNo0.380$0.04
08:13:51BUYNo0.385$1.90