PolyBot

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10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2027-02-01
Resolves by
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.013. down 0.003 over the period, from 0.017. Range 0.012 to 0.017. 142 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0181,0201,020
0.0191001,120
0.0202,5503,670
0.0212953,965
0.0222954,260
0.0235904,849
0.0245905,439
0.0255906,029
0.0263006,329
0.0282506,579
0.0291056,684
0.0303006,984

Spread0.009Mid0.013

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0093838
0.00886125
0.005494619
0.0043,6994,318
0.00313,93018,248
0.00232,59450,842
0.00199,771150,613

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9913838
0.99286125
0.995494619
0.9963,6994,318
0.99713,93018,248
0.99832,59450,842
0.99999,771150,613

Spread0.009Mid0.986

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9821,0201,020
0.9811001,120
0.9802,5503,670
0.9792953,965
0.9782954,260
0.9775904,849
0.9765905,439
0.9755906,029
0.9743006,329
0.9722506,579
0.9711056,684
0.9703006,984

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
vk7Yes15,999.99
589985Yes14,666.41
pedro4prezYes9,999.98
packlingYes7,692.31
0xfa39…977fYes6,236.22
JLLEE91Yes5,009.18
0x37EA8cD1e66025E4f78301124F995E793d1dF395-1760018986718Yes4,500
0x711DF842177985FDF45dA7A130e5B436eE3B0149-1774839125846Yes2,861.2
0x45888dAC5425E5FACc8623f7171AB0E577b218b0-1772889360246Yes2,507
PontiusPilateYes2,500
0x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-1792437064758Yes2,451.5
alpha-voreYes2,324.09
0x65d7a84288A41e379176C64428b4B70dA6Cc1f7F-1759857592691Yes1,999.99
PeryperyYes1,984.83
0x65Bc50b882f481fB8F3622054d7060a050CCbdc2-1752933032375Yes1,909.63
RoderickM987Yes1,799.91
LornaPredictsYes1,200
lottonakamotoYes1,128.4
suntoriYes1,048.2
RowbeeeYes800

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
22:51:06SELLNo0.983120$117.96
21:04:06BUYNo0.9879999961$1.00
21:04:06BUYNo0.9879999961$1.00
21:04:03SELLNo0.984330$324.72
07:49:21BUYYes0.014999999967$1.00
14:05:52BUYNo0.9869999942111$109.67
10:52:53SELLNo0.98350$49.15
19:42:08BUYNo0.98766$65.54
14:23:38SELLNo0.985552$543.72
16:05:06SELLNo0.9850$0.46
13:40:14SELLNo0.98725$24.68
12:55:52SELLYes0.0075$0.04
03:58:49SELLYes0.00545757543,424$18.69
03:41:09BUYYes0.0152,000$30.00
03:41:03BUYYes0.0140452661,424$20.00
15:56:58SELLNo0.9861$1.05
13:25:31SELLNo0.98655$54.23
18:26:31SELLNo0.98623$22.68
12:18:00SELLNo0.9861$1.03
02:55:51BUYNo0.98925$24.73
16:48:53BUYNo0.98899994710$10.00
17:36:31SELLNo0.985209$205.37
17:28:04SELLNo0.98515$14.78
16:45:43BUYNo0.9898$7.58
10:46:28BUYNo0.988999986151$50.00