PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

pedro4prez

0x823ce4f5754bce96d4f19aad58e6d643b9ab5046

Realised P&L
$247.00
Volume
$176.7k
Markets traded
116
Open portfolio
$394.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded116
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.9400.925$231.25−$3.75
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · Yes0.0450.013$135.00−$319.99
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.8400.570$28.50−$13.50
Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$20.00
Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Parma win the 2025–26 Serie A league? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$2.85
Will Udinese win the 2025–26 Serie A league? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$2.66
Will Cagliari win the 2025–26 Serie A league? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$5.97
Will Verona win the 2025–26 Serie A league? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$2.26
Will Wolves win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Pisa win the 2025–26 Serie A league? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$2.42

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 08:39Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.94$235.00
06-12 20:36Amouranth divorced by June 30? BUY0.96$96.00
05-26 18:06Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.84$42.00
05-15 12:08Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?BUY0.999$199.80
05-15 12:07Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?BUY0.999$199.80
03-24 03:15Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?BUY0.978$48.90
03-24 03:13Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?BUY0.996$270.16
03-15 10:14Will Canada strike Iran by March 31?BUY0.997$99.70
01-17 03:06Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 16, 2026?BUY0.997$498.50
12-26 15:45Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.995$497.50
12-01 02:48Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on November 30?BUY0.998$122.75
11-28 12:59Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the December meeting?BUY0.998$99.80
11-28 12:56Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?BUY0.63$126.00
11-28 12:54Will Parma win the 2025–26 Serie A league?BUY0.002$2.85
11-28 12:54Will Udinese win the 2025–26 Serie A league?BUY0.002$2.66