0x45888dAC5425E5FACc8623f7171AB0E577b218b0-1772889360246
0x45888dac5425e5facc8623f7171ab0e577b218b0
- Realised P&L
- $29.27
- Volume
- $6.5k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $33.84
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.013 | $33.84 | −$9.29 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.11at 0.015Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
- +$7.00at 0.150Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?
- +$3.93at 0.480Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$1.66at 0.017Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
- +$1.58at 0.100Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-23 20:48 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | SELL | 0.971 | $7.77 |