alpha-vore
0x14f88f16bf4cad09182d55e199195626405343a1
- Realised P&L
- $-237.27
- Volume
- $5.3k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $51.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.068 | $30.58 | −$19.26 |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.009 | $20.92 | −$79.08 |
| Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2026? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.64 |
| Megaquake by December 31? · Yes | 0.083 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-18.36at 0.050Will JD Vance announce Presidential run in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-16 17:01 | Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2026? | BUY | 0.0090000001 | $1.64 |
| 12-16 17:01 | Will JD Vance announce Presidential run in 2025? | SELL | 0.004099 | $1.64 |
| 12-16 17:01 | 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | BUY | 0.1099999981 | $49.84 |
| 12-16 17:01 | 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | BUY | 0.0430275722 | $100.00 |
| 12-16 17:01 | Megaquake by December 31? | BUY | 0.0830633774 | $100.00 |
| 09-10 16:14 | Will Karen Bass win the 2025 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.4472094063 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 16:13 | Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2026? | BUY | 0.0689655172 | $20.00 |
| 09-10 16:11 | Will JD Vance announce Presidential run in 2025? | BUY | 0.05 | $20.00 |