Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-28

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.011. down 0.025 over the period, from 0.035. Range 0.008 to 0.035. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.011	7,952	7,952
0.012	2,111	10,063
0.013	4,330	14,393
0.014	30,677	45,070
0.015	1,080	46,150
0.016	6,365	52,516
0.017	120	52,636
0.019	1,000	53,636
0.020	5,000	58,636
0.023	3,433	62,069
0.025	6,384	68,453
0.026	60	68,513

Spread0.001Mid0.010

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.010	13,621	13,621
0.009	1,035	14,656
0.008	1,238	15,894
0.007	84,310	100,204
0.006	258,600	358,804
0.005	326,000	684,804
0.004	1,171,650	1,856,454
0.003	2,110,583	3,967,037
0.002	2,263,525	6,230,562
0.001	336,438	6,567,000

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.990	13,621	13,621
0.991	1,035	14,656
0.992	1,238	15,894
0.993	84,310	100,204
0.994	258,600	358,804
0.995	326,000	684,804
0.996	1,171,650	1,856,454
0.997	2,110,583	3,967,037
0.998	2,263,525	6,230,562
0.999	336,438	6,567,000

Spread0.001Mid0.990

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.989	7,952	7,952
0.988	2,111	10,063
0.987	4,330	14,393
0.986	30,677	45,070
0.985	1,080	46,150
0.984	6,365	52,516
0.983	120	52,636
0.981	1,000	53,636
0.980	5,000	58,636
0.977	3,433	62,069
0.975	6,384	68,453
0.974	60	68,513

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Kevin-Warsh	Yes	83,185.34
truthteller	Yes	35,334.29
zouzouzou123	Yes	32,074.96
noblesse.oblige	Yes	30,676.86
fafafafafafafafsadasdq	Yes	29,875.05
lqbeijing	Yes	22,553.04
Ferwhere	Yes	22,067.66
hiaurelius	Yes	18,715.03
Desy-1725192185234	Yes	18,389.92
0xD7010851673eC281d9A79C77192F31051109917D-1785414009080	Yes	17,869.06
ethBELIVER	Yes	16,228.71
0x19ea518677C1f1B0Ab55582084Fc250c256E5D08-1767815932117	Yes	12,500
Ninelona	Yes	11,819.93
jozeslemsek	Yes	10,521.15
purplegatto	Yes	9,706.01
Zzzz87	Yes	9,366
Jamawds	Yes	9,142.01
aatiancai	Yes	8,983.75
0x78e7a8a4Dfa99aF9A18b9DEF96672feB83Db2C77-1779178529250	Yes	8,464.74
namomo788	Yes	7,356.36

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
02:58:06	SELL	Yes	0.01	207	$2.07
02:31:00	BUY	Yes	0.011	183	$2.01
02:08:33	BUY	Yes	0.011	100	$1.10
01:53:19	BUY	Yes	0.011	345	$3.80
01:38:45	BUY	No	0.99	1,200	$1188.00
01:38:45	BUY	No	0.99	100	$99.00
01:38:45	BUY	No	0.99	100	$99.41
01:38:45	BUY	No	0.99	500	$495.00
01:38:45	BUY	No	0.99	40	$39.60
01:15:12	BUY	No	0.99	6	$6.00
01:15:12	BUY	No	0.99	81	$80.59
01:15:12	BUY	No	0.99	30	$29.70
01:15:12	BUY	No	0.99	1,500	$1485.00
01:15:12	BUY	No	0.99	10	$9.90
01:15:12	BUY	No	0.99	100	$99.00
01:09:00	SELL	No	0.989	1	$0.99
00:59:15	BUY	Yes	0.011	91	$1.00
00:27:37	BUY	Yes	0.01	100	$1.00
00:10:06	BUY	Yes	0.01	500	$5.00
00:07:27	SELL	No	0.99	6	$5.94
00:07:06	BUY	Yes	0.01	139	$1.39
00:07:06	BUY	Yes	0.009	348	$3.13
23:29:58	SELL	Yes	0.008	13	$0.10
21:09:40	SELL	Yes	0.009	150	$1.35
21:08:07	SELL	No	0.99	6	$5.94