PolyBot

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Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-09

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.021. up 0.005 over the period, from 0.016. Range 0.013 to 0.023. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.02155
0.022110115
0.0239591,074
0.0244051,479
0.0261001,580
0.028411,621
0.0291,4873,108
0.0352,0005,108
0.0374345,542
0.0456996,242
0.0484506,692
0.0492,0008,692

Spread0.001Mid0.021

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0207,9627,962
0.0183,53211,493
0.01730,57242,066
0.0164,83646,902
0.01464347,545
0.01350,00097,545
0.0122,16799,711
0.0113,904103,615
0.0107,595111,210
0.0095,222116,432
0.0084,937121,370
0.0074,943126,313

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9807,9627,962
0.9823,53211,493
0.98330,57242,066
0.9844,83646,902
0.98664347,545
0.98750,00097,545
0.9882,16799,711
0.9893,904103,615
0.9907,595111,210
0.9915,222116,432
0.9924,937121,370
0.9934,943126,313

Spread0.001Mid0.980

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.97955
0.978110115
0.9779591,074
0.9764051,479
0.9741001,580
0.972411,621
0.9711,4873,108
0.9652,0005,108
0.9634345,542
0.9556996,242
0.9524506,692
0.9512,0008,692

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0xC8cd72181faF60f6131A36A5680407875B447405-1787021104605Yes50,222.83
hippokaYes24,689.94
pray1ngYes20,309.85
omarlrodriguezYes8,376.54
0x5d11Fb9e163a8d51Fc896eD47C417E144b02018E-1753514376998Yes6,332.66
mataaiaproastaYes2,730.58
CashmeowioYes2,164
ZD-ELO-M3Yes1,986.81
0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6dYes1,497.71
HerrieDavisYes1,496.47
nigiri99Yes1,393
donthackmeYes1,066.88
YasenYes1,000
F1geekYes843
RemusCernealaYes807.61
melonmanmYes750
forgetfuldoryYes610.86
PrognosticatorOfPrahaYes600
Gigachain1622Yes561.69
bdr2Yes538.34

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
12:48:57SELLYes0.02363$7.25
12:39:08BUYYes0.0221,308$28.77
12:36:50BUYNo0.98732$717.01
12:36:50BUYNo0.9853$52.41
12:36:50BUYNo0.9820$19.72
12:36:50BUYNo0.9820$19.68
12:36:50BUYNo0.98600$587.58
12:36:50BUYNo0.9860$58.80
12:36:50BUYNo0.98126$123.96
12:36:50BUYNo0.9862$60.99
12:36:50BUYNo0.98125$122.50
12:36:50BUYNo0.9830$29.40
12:36:50BUYNo0.9810$9.80
12:36:50BUYNo0.9850$49.00
12:36:50BUYNo0.9820$19.70
12:36:50BUYNo0.9820$19.62
12:36:50BUYNo0.9820$19.66
10:48:41BUYYes0.024343$8.23
10:48:02BUYYes0.024500$12.00
10:25:44BUYNo0.986$6.01
23:13:59SELLYes0.02171$1.50
23:13:50BUYYes0.021836$17.56
22:54:26BUYNo0.98363$356.00
22:54:20BUYNo0.98370$362.60
22:54:18BUYNo0.98125$122.54