Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-12
Resolves by: https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.17. down 0.33 over the period, from 0.50. Range 0.09 to 0.50. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.19	195	195
0.20	300	495
0.23	20	515
0.34	20	535
0.35	35	570
0.41	60	630
0.42	20	650
0.43	20	670
0.44	45	715
0.65	60	775
0.66	50	825
0.67	40	865

Spread0.05Mid0.17

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.14	170	170
0.13	361	531
0.12	103	634
0.07	71	705
0.06	83	788
0.05	100	888
0.04	15	903
0.03	20	923
0.02	88	1,011
0.01	80	1,091

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.86	170	170
0.87	361	531
0.88	103	634
0.93	71	705
0.94	83	788
0.95	100	888
0.96	15	903
0.97	20	923
0.98	88	1,011
0.99	80	1,091

Spread0.05Mid0.83

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.81	195	195
0.80	300	495
0.77	20	515
0.66	20	535
0.65	35	570
0.59	60	630
0.58	20	650
0.57	20	670
0.56	45	715
0.35	60	775
0.34	50	825
0.33	40	865

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0x7f15F350261a0dfA8bff802df364E33773d552f1-1768964329836	Yes	439.99
preciseploys	Yes	20
2B9S	Yes	1.15
Dr.PNL	No	240
KiruaTrading	No	90.1
AJSV	No	55.56
0xa5ef…2966	No	36.88
NotAnIdiot	No	32.74
DowJones2	No	5.86

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
19:12:12	BUY	No	0.85	6	$4.98
12:55:51	SELL	No	0.81	1	$0.72
12:33:32	BUY	Yes	0.16	19	$3.04
12:33:30	SELL	No	0.84	20	$16.80
12:33:29	SELL	No	0.84	4	$2.97
12:33:29	BUY	Yes	0.17	60	$10.22
12:33:29	BUY	Yes	0.15	40	$6.02
12:33:29	BUY	Yes	0.14	440	$61.60
12:33:27	BUY	Yes	0.15	20	$3.00
12:33:27	BUY	Yes	0.15	20	$3.00
07:04:02	SELL	No	0.87	20	$17.40
18:47:04	BUY	No	0.83	30	$24.89
18:34:37	BUY	No	0.78	20	$15.60
10:21:54	SELL	No	0.88	50	$44.00
10:21:54	BUY	Yes	0.12	30	$3.60
07:32:50	BUY	Yes	0.12	16	$1.95
20:35:18	BUY	No	0.88	50	$44.00