PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

deSora

0x6eae730427175ac7e7795e8307abd9050cb11916

Realised P&L
$300.40
Volume
$21.4k
Markets traded
1,932
Open portfolio
$357.93

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,932
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6940.655$78.26$4.65
Will Ethereum reach $2,250 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4620.575$64.67+$12.73
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4860.495$46.88+$0.88
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2580.215$17.52$3.48
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3460.315$10.02$0.98
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6580.830$9.85+$2.05
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.5020.435$9.52$1.48
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? · No0.9120.978$8.58+$0.58
Will Solana reach $90 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7020.550$6.27$1.73
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? · No0.6800.750$5.51+$0.51
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8960.900$5.02+$0.02
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.915$4.02+$0.02
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? · No0.7300.959$3.94+$0.94
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5700.655$3.45+$0.45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.8200.565$3.44$1.56

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 06:15Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $600 in August?BUY0.4199998236$1.00
08-03 06:15Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $560 in August?BUY0.963970886$1.00
08-03 06:13Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $510 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.96$1.00
08-03 06:10Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.9279999777$1.00
08-03 06:06Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 on August 3?BUY0.9729999805$1.00
08-03 06:05Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on August 3?BUY0.9739999922$1.00
08-03 06:05Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 6?BUY0.9819999863$1.00
08-03 06:05Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 5?BUY0.984$1.00
08-03 06:04Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 4?BUY0.9679999923$1.00
08-03 06:00Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5$1.00
08-03 06:00Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6699999933$3.00
08-03 05:59Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 3?BUY0.9419999472$1.00
08-02 07:37Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $315 in August?BUY0.9299999814$2.00
08-02 07:34Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $330 in August?BUY0.5699999059$2.00
08-02 07:29Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $420 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.97$1.00