Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31
Resolves by: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Rewards: 20 min size · 3.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.023. down 0.009 over the period, from 0.032. Range 0.019 to 0.058. 150 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.028	6	6
0.029	212	217
0.030	1,010	1,227
0.041	400	1,627
0.100	100	1,727
0.150	100	1,827
0.300	100	1,927
0.390	500	2,427
0.450	693	3,121
0.510	778	3,899
0.570	975	4,874
0.590	483	5,357

Spread0.010Mid0.023

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.018	8	8
0.017	78	86
0.016	16	102
0.011	690	792
0.010	1,000	1,792
0.005	1,000	2,792
0.004	500	3,292
0.003	2,288	5,580
0.002	1,755	7,335
0.001	11,466	18,801

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.982	8	8
0.983	78	86
0.984	16	102
0.989	690	792
0.990	1,000	1,792
0.995	1,000	2,792
0.996	500	3,292
0.997	2,288	5,580
0.998	1,755	7,335
0.999	11,466	18,801

Spread0.010Mid0.977

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.972	6	6
0.971	212	217
0.970	1,010	1,227
0.959	400	1,627
0.900	100	1,727
0.850	100	1,827
0.700	100	1,927
0.610	500	2,427
0.550	693	3,121
0.490	778	3,899
0.430	975	4,874
0.410	483	5,357

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Wojtek	Yes	1,687.61
0x61A6b23c59Dc8646F42662A206A717ba28c8dE5F-1781352645662	Yes	605.57
rocky42004	Yes	299
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	109.11
ma99	Yes	100
akunai	Yes	100
0x35df…cf97	Yes	87.72
paas2	Yes	26.4
0x0240…bd19	Yes	22
0x0273…364a	Yes	22
0x064b…44c5	Yes	22
0x1183…5b01	Yes	22
0x1947…80d8	Yes	22
0x24c8…e1a8	Yes	22
0x32e8…e1a5	Yes	22
0x45e1…e784	Yes	22
0x52e3…79f6	Yes	22
0x9610…5a42	Yes	22
0xace0…4a16	Yes	22
0xb86e…0a14	Yes	22

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
09:11:31	BUY	Yes	0.03	10	$0.30
14:25:30	BUY	Yes	0.017	5	$0.09
05:16:23	BUY	No	0.978	6	$5.51
20:17:30	SELL	No	0.982	2	$2.01
20:16:59	SELL	No	0.983	7	$7.06
13:04:19	BUY	Yes	0.016	30	$0.48
12:04:10	BUY	No	0.9890109879	30	$30.00
12:50:00	SELL	No	0.9819736409	6	$5.96
12:03:02	BUY	No	0.987	6	$6.00
13:01:26	BUY	No	0.974	1	$1.16
12:52:33	BUY	No	0.974	20	$19.48
12:52:18	BUY	No	0.974	20	$19.48
12:52:02	BUY	No	0.974	20	$19.48
12:51:36	BUY	No	0.973	20	$19.46
14:03:42	SELL	No	0.972	5	$4.93
14:02:41	BUY	No	0.9859999834	5	$5.00
08:56:34	SELL	Yes	0.014	50	$0.70
06:17:36	SELL	No	0.979	1	$1.03
15:11:45	SELL	No	0.972	5	$4.93
15:11:29	BUY	No	0.9859999834	5	$5.00
02:45:27	BUY	No	0.9789153062	731	$715.92
20:34:27	BUY	No	0.974	25	$24.35
21:46:25	SELL	Yes	0.026	14	$0.36
22:17:33	SELL	Yes	0.027	7	$0.19
22:15:57	BUY	No	0.971	70	$67.97