PolyBot

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Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Rewards
20 min size · 3.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.015. down 0.015 over the period, from 0.029. Range 0.015 to 0.030. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0155050
0.0212070
0.028676
0.0291187
0.033693
0.0361,0001,093
0.0392001,293
0.1001001,393
0.1501001,493
0.3001001,593
0.325791,672
0.3263492,021

Spread0.001Mid0.014

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.014133133
0.011254387
0.0101,0001,387
0.0066001,987
0.0051,0002,987
0.0045003,487
0.0032,3025,789
0.0025,65011,439
0.00116,77828,217

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.986133133
0.989254387
0.9901,0001,387
0.9946001,987
0.9951,0002,987
0.9965003,487
0.9972,3025,789
0.9985,65011,439
0.99916,77828,217

Spread0.001Mid0.986

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9855050
0.9792070
0.972676
0.9711187
0.967693
0.9641,0001,093
0.9612001,293
0.9001001,393
0.8501001,493
0.7001001,593
0.675791,672
0.6743492,021

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
WojtekYes1,687.28
0x61A6b23c59Dc8646F42662A206A717ba28c8dE5F-1781352645662Yes605.57
rocky42004Yes299
ma99Yes100
akunaiYes100
0x35df…cf97Yes87.72
a5533Yes50
AJSVYes44.05
paas2Yes26.4
0x0240…bd19Yes22
0x0273…364aYes22
0x064b…44c5Yes22
0x1183…5b01Yes22
0x1947…80d8Yes22
0x24c8…e1a8Yes22
0x32e8…e1a5Yes22
0x45e1…e784Yes22
0x52e3…79f6Yes22
0x9610…5a42Yes22
0xace0…4a16Yes22

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
06:17:36SELLNo0.9791$1.03
15:11:45SELLNo0.9725$4.93
15:11:29BUYNo0.98599998345$5.00
02:45:27BUYNo0.9789153062731$715.92
20:34:27BUYNo0.97425$24.35
21:46:25SELLYes0.02614$0.36
22:17:33SELLYes0.0277$0.19
22:15:57BUYNo0.97170$67.97
03:37:42BUYNo0.978$7.68
17:01:55SELLNo0.96749$47.52
15:38:24SELLNo0.97352$50.60
12:49:22SELLNo0.97419$18.34
17:07:00SELLNo0.9745$4.70
17:06:36BUYNo0.97799995415$4.73
03:00:58SELLNo0.974164988439$37.73
09:00:31SELLYes0.0251$0.02
08:57:58SELLYes0.0259$0.23
08:50:04SELLYes0.0259$0.23
08:46:46SELLYes0.0259$0.23
08:43:04SELLYes0.0259$0.23
06:10:24BUYNo0.97399999735$5.00
18:22:42BUYNo0.9724221853126$122.90
09:25:37SELLYes0.02833$0.92
20:50:01BUYNo0.97215$14.15
18:10:16SELLNo0.9495495404285$270.64