Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31
Resolves by: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.019. down 0.002 over the period, from 0.021. Range 0.019 to 0.081. 150 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.029	518	518
0.030	1,010	1,528
0.037	7	1,536
0.050	1,000	2,536
0.110	500	3,036
0.150	14	3,049
0.200	100	3,149
0.300	100	3,249
0.389	5	3,254
0.390	1,000	4,254
0.450	1,386	5,641
0.510	1,556	7,197

Spread0.019Mid0.019

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.010	1,006	1,006
0.009	11	1,018
0.007	200	1,218
0.006	600	1,818
0.005	1,000	2,818
0.004	750	3,568
0.003	2,250	5,818
0.002	2,380	8,198
0.001	14,177	22,375

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.990	1,006	1,006
0.991	11	1,018
0.993	200	1,218
0.994	600	1,818
0.995	1,000	2,818
0.996	750	3,568
0.997	2,250	5,818
0.998	2,380	8,198
0.999	14,177	22,375

Spread0.019Mid0.980

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.971	518	518
0.970	1,010	1,528
0.963	7	1,536
0.950	1,000	2,536
0.890	500	3,036
0.850	14	3,049
0.800	100	3,149
0.700	100	3,249
0.611	5	3,254
0.610	1,000	4,254
0.550	1,386	5,641
0.490	1,556	7,197

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Wojtek	Yes	1,982.41
planktonXD	Yes	414.24
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	233.23
phkz	Yes	110
ma99	Yes	104.25
welldone666	Yes	79.64
Uwillsee	Yes	75.2
0xb209…7e80	Yes	27.8
0xe795…0eaa	Yes	23.43
0x2046…2765	Yes	20
0x29d6…34dc	Yes	20
0x3177…c5b8	Yes	20
0x3275…65dc	Yes	20
0x76ff…4fa4	Yes	20
0x795e…5415	Yes	20
0x7a6c…9777	Yes	20
0x8f4c…17b5	Yes	20
0xa33e…4096	Yes	20
0xa8df…a03f	Yes	20
0xc448…7476	Yes	20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
08:05:09	BUY	Yes	0.052	25	$1.28
07:50:05	BUY	Yes	0.04	10	$0.40
18:14:43	SELL	No	0.976	27	$26.67
13:04:28	BUY	Yes	0.022	23	$0.51
12:04:01	BUY	No	0.98399997	32	$31.00
16:57:05	SELL	No	0.983	4	$4.18
21:00:53	SELL	No	0.984	5	$5.10
08:23:08	SELL	No	0.9816435185	56	$55.13
18:03:17	SELL	No	0.983	7	$7.12
14:36:22	SELL	No	0.989	50	$49.45
15:11:48	SELL	No	0.981	5	$4.95
15:11:32	BUY	No	0.99	5	$5.00
19:11:18	BUY	No	0.987	63	$62.62
02:45:19	BUY	No	0.98	3	$3.23
02:45:04	BUY	No	0.9799489538	435	$426.18
02:44:58	BUY	No	0.978617328	1,429	$1398.35
21:39:30	BUY	No	0.978	11	$10.76
20:23:36	BUY	Yes	0.022	5	$0.12
19:24:58	BUY	No	0.978	6	$5.63
14:39:42	BUY	Yes	0.0376690275	80	$3.00
21:50:51	BUY	No	0.977	7	$7.00
18:08:48	BUY	No	0.969	78	$75.39
22:11:31	BUY	No	0.97	11	$10.67
22:06:22	BUY	No	0.97	8	$8.05
20:51:12	BUY	No	0.969	25	$23.93