PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.015. down 0.012 over the period, from 0.026. Range 0.015 to 0.032. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.01911
0.0202,9993,000
0.024113,011
0.026113,022
0.03993,031
0.040103,041
0.058123,052
0.1241,0004,052
0.150144,066
0.2001004,166
0.3001004,266
0.4291134,378

Spread0.009Mid0.014

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0101,0061,006
0.0072001,206
0.0066001,806
0.0051,0002,806
0.0045003,306
0.0031,8335,139
0.0021,5556,694
0.00117,96024,654

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9901,0061,006
0.9932001,206
0.9946001,806
0.9951,0002,806
0.9965003,306
0.9971,8335,139
0.9981,5556,694
0.99917,96024,654

Spread0.009Mid0.986

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.98111
0.9802,9993,000
0.976113,011
0.974113,022
0.96193,031
0.960103,041
0.942123,052
0.8761,0004,052
0.850144,066
0.8001004,166
0.7001004,266
0.5711134,378

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
WojtekYes1,982.41
planktonXDYes414.24
AJSVYes175.53
phkzYes110
ma99Yes104.25
welldone666Yes79.64
UwillseeYes75.2
PPMTYes52.1
0xb209…7e80Yes27.8
54sfdsYes26.36
0xe795…0eaaYes23.43
0x2046…2765Yes20
0x29d6…34dcYes20
0x3177…c5b8Yes20
0x3275…65dcYes20
0x76ff…4fa4Yes20
0x795e…5415Yes20
0x7a6c…9777Yes20
0x8f4c…17b5Yes20
0xa33e…4096Yes20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
14:36:22SELLNo0.98950$49.45
15:11:48SELLNo0.9815$4.95
15:11:32BUYNo0.995$5.00
19:11:18BUYNo0.98763$62.62
02:45:19BUYNo0.983$3.23
02:45:04BUYNo0.9799489538435$426.18
02:44:58BUYNo0.9786173281,429$1398.35
21:39:30BUYNo0.97811$10.76
20:23:36BUYYes0.0225$0.12
19:24:58BUYNo0.9786$5.63
14:39:42BUYYes0.037669027580$3.00
21:50:51BUYNo0.9777$7.00
18:08:48BUYNo0.96978$75.39
22:11:31BUYNo0.9711$10.67
22:06:22BUYNo0.978$8.05
20:51:12BUYNo0.96925$23.93
18:10:15SELLNo0.9481228342374$354.60
15:27:33SELLYes0.03110$0.31
14:44:52BUYNo0.9637520707362$349.07
21:18:36BUYNo0.96120$19.32
13:49:20BUYNo0.958809850761$58.73
13:49:20BUYNo0.95999969761$1.27
06:15:24BUYYes0.0455$2.18
05:28:35BUYYes0.0396$0.23
03:34:36BUYYes0.03521$0.74