Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31
Resolves by: https://lmarena.ai/

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.009. down 0.001 over the period, from 0.009. Range 0.007 to 0.018. 145 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.009	1,039	1,039
0.010	5	1,044
0.012	1,069	2,114
0.013	4,726	6,840
0.014	115	6,955
0.016	3,191	10,146
0.017	50	10,196
0.018	841	11,037
0.019	2,165	13,202
0.024	2,496	15,698
0.025	3,343	19,041
0.027	194	19,235

Spread0.001Mid0.009

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.008	793	793
0.007	2,437	3,230
0.006	28,525	31,755
0.005	792	32,547
0.004	2,795	35,342
0.003	24,811	60,153
0.002	96,330	156,483
0.001	233,417	389,900

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.992	793	793
0.993	2,437	3,230
0.994	28,525	31,755
0.995	792	32,547
0.996	2,795	35,342
0.997	24,811	60,153
0.998	96,330	156,483
0.999	233,417	389,900

Spread0.001Mid0.992

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.991	1,039	1,039
0.990	5	1,044
0.988	1,069	2,114
0.987	4,726	6,840
0.986	115	6,955
0.984	3,191	10,146
0.983	50	10,196
0.982	841	11,037
0.981	2,165	13,202
0.976	2,496	15,698
0.975	3,343	19,041
0.973	194	19,235

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
JungPung	Yes	22,556.25
tararron	Yes	10,868.85
dexsheet	Yes	10,426.32
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938	Yes	10,262.7
Thisismkc	Yes	8,901.97
cowcat	Yes	6,895.5
a5DYXQMGEE	Yes	5,899.4
jozeslemsek	Yes	5,864.01
IceFrosst	Yes	4,925.81
RooksD000	Yes	4,469.09
Chrismactom	Yes	4,453.53
maritime6307	Yes	4,300
grizzlyf	Yes	3,829.97
0x67918B45D58ada7de1eea9e3b483d8Ea5F9d0434-1783201601509	Yes	3,456.59
TheWindKnowsmyName	Yes	2,604.09
whormoozz	Yes	2,342.68
bobbery	Yes	2,310
fiter	Yes	2,299.99
wrfcimo	Yes	2,272.73
scottylee	Yes	2,234.64

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
21:56:30	BUY	No	0.992	105	$104.16
19:48:42	SELL	Yes	0.008	63	$0.50
14:53:49	BUY	Yes	0.0119999999	83	$1.00
11:25:24	BUY	No	0.992	40	$39.33
08:55:33	BUY	Yes	0.00800232	406	$3.25
07:07:52	BUY	Yes	0.0097251522	1,028	$10.00
00:20:51	BUY	No	0.993	53	$52.69
00:20:45	BUY	No	0.993	53	$52.69
00:19:33	SELL	Yes	0.007	25	$0.17
00:19:01	BUY	No	0.993	40	$40.17
00:19:01	BUY	No	0.993	45	$44.69
00:19:01	BUY	No	0.993	10	$9.96
21:36:30	BUY	Yes	0.0090983394	550	$5.00
17:11:06	SELL	Yes	0.007	100	$0.70
17:10:30	BUY	No	0.992	10	$10.22
17:10:30	BUY	No	0.992	30	$29.85
17:10:28	BUY	No	0.992	400	$396.80
17:10:28	BUY	No	0.993	450	$446.85
17:10:28	BUY	No	0.9927114286	175	$173.72
17:10:28	BUY	No	0.992	400	$396.80
17:10:28	BUY	No	0.992	5	$5.14
17:10:28	BUY	No	0.992	15	$15.17
17:10:28	BUY	No	0.992	50	$49.60
17:10:28	BUY	No	0.992	5	$5.12
17:10:28	BUY	No	0.992	75	$74.40