Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.043. up 0.004 over the period, from 0.038. Range 0.030 to 0.054. 140 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.043	3,442	3,442
0.047	200	3,642
0.060	504	4,146
0.066	87	4,233
0.078	10	4,243
0.079	80	4,323
0.080	5	4,328
0.090	206	4,534
0.093	236	4,770
0.094	69	4,839
0.097	45	4,884
0.098	138	5,023

Spread0.001Mid0.042

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.042	3	3
0.036	63	66
0.034	100	166
0.033	50	216
0.031	130	346
0.029	156	502
0.028	386	888
0.027	40	928
0.025	430	1,358
0.024	830	2,188
0.023	1,100	3,288
0.021	149	3,437

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.958	3	3
0.964	63	66
0.966	100	166
0.967	50	216
0.969	130	346
0.971	156	502
0.972	386	888
0.973	40	928
0.975	430	1,358
0.976	830	2,188
0.977	1,100	3,288
0.979	149	3,437

Spread0.001Mid0.958

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.957	3,442	3,442
0.953	200	3,642
0.940	504	4,146
0.934	87	4,233
0.922	10	4,243
0.921	80	4,323
0.920	5	4,328
0.910	206	4,534
0.907	236	4,770
0.906	69	4,839
0.903	45	4,884
0.902	138	5,023

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
RooksD000	Yes	3,717.66
alwayslatetotheparty	Yes	2,691.02
a5DYXQMGEE	Yes	2,569.99
cowcat	Yes	2,280.43
macrobody	Yes	2,069.18
tonton69	Yes	1,418.25
asdasdasdwow123	Yes	1,272.91
ammarb	Yes	873.76
balthazar	Yes	757.36
donthackme	Yes	740.97
pleasedontstopthemusic	Yes	729.13
0x1C443f3c818321b17cBd866FA2Dce067b7856021-1771508334725	Yes	700
0x55338c4B64DaaC712203ff9c23c1b55C7d1b8220-1773668900189	Yes	667.62
Chrismactom	Yes	655.81
scottylee	Yes	545.18
valentovastan	Yes	519.09
justrun86	Yes	303.03
mustbethewater	Yes	299.73
Baejun	Yes	240.53
arbokbro	Yes	235.92

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
01:33:42	SELL	No	0.957	3	$2.48
20:52:05	BUY	Yes	0.0429999921	116	$5.00
18:01:27	BUY	Yes	0.043	102	$4.39
18:01:23	BUY	Yes	0.043	50	$2.15
15:51:41	BUY	No	0.9579999861	3	$2.49
13:53:44	SELL	Yes	0.0420335556	180	$7.57
08:47:33	BUY	No	0.957	19	$17.70
02:28:41	BUY	Yes	0.045	100	$4.50
02:28:33	BUY	Yes	0.045	100	$4.50
02:28:27	BUY	Yes	0.045	109	$4.91
16:00:35	BUY	No	0.953	50	$47.89
16:00:35	BUY	No	0.9529999929	74	$70.53
16:00:33	BUY	No	0.952	10	$9.52
16:00:33	BUY	No	0.9523333333	30	$28.57
21:31:27	BUY	No	0.9529996337	1	$1.15
20:04:50	BUY	Yes	0.0592396563	338	$20.00
20:01:09	BUY	Yes	0.0568148977	704	$40.00
17:03:57	BUY	Yes	0.0424508086	59	$2.52
06:07:12	BUY	Yes	0.033	750	$24.75
11:36:20	BUY	Yes	0.0329999958	224	$7.38
03:12:45	BUY	Yes	0.0488221842	205	$10.00
10:21:59	BUY	Yes	0.03199	1,000	$31.99
13:36:30	BUY	No	0.9629999994	40	$38.72
04:00:54	BUY	Yes	0.04	87	$3.48
04:00:48	BUY	Yes	0.04	26	$1.04