Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.034. down 0.012 over the period, from 0.045. Range 0.030 to 0.048. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.039	149	149
0.040	68	217
0.045	108	325
0.046	244	569
0.047	263	832
0.049	473	1,305
0.050	253	1,558
0.052	90	1,648
0.060	383	2,031
0.061	100	2,131
0.064	100	2,231
0.068	223	2,454

Spread0.013Mid0.033

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.026	59	59
0.025	1,080	1,139
0.020	80	1,219
0.019	400	1,619
0.018	1,050	2,669
0.017	890	3,559
0.014	1,200	4,759
0.012	417	5,175
0.011	1,000	6,175
0.010	509	6,684
0.009	1,743	8,427
0.008	5,250	13,677

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.974	59	59
0.975	1,080	1,139
0.980	80	1,219
0.981	400	1,619
0.982	1,050	2,669
0.983	890	3,559
0.986	1,200	4,759
0.988	417	5,175
0.989	1,000	6,175
0.990	509	6,684
0.991	1,743	8,427
0.992	5,250	13,677

Spread0.013Mid0.968

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.961	149	149
0.960	68	217
0.955	108	325
0.954	244	569
0.953	263	832
0.951	473	1,305
0.950	253	1,558
0.948	90	1,648
0.940	383	2,031
0.939	100	2,131
0.936	100	2,231
0.932	223	2,454

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Thisismkc	Yes	8,901.97
cowcat	Yes	6,895.5
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938	Yes	6,538.83
IceFrosst	Yes	4,925.81
RooksD000	Yes	3,969.09
whormoozz	Yes	2,342.68
scottylee	Yes	2,234.64
Chrismactom	Yes	2,121.48
tonton69	Yes	2,084.52
macrobody	Yes	2,069.18
AvidMound2949	Yes	1,954.88
noddd	Yes	1,810.19
doil	Yes	1,319.56
asdasdasdwow123	Yes	1,272.91
0x1fe7…7fa7	Yes	1,167.47
JungPung	Yes	1,048.99
darthgeek	Yes	998.28
darthgeek1338	Yes	903
Sol400	Yes	881.52
ammarb	Yes	873.76

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
17:21:24	BUY	No	0.972	30	$29.16
17:21:16	BUY	No	0.96	4	$4.31
17:21:16	BUY	No	0.96	13	$12.29
16:49:03	BUY	No	0.96	100	$96.00
16:49:03	BUY	No	0.96	19	$18.09
16:05:15	BUY	No	0.96	29	$28.25
16:05:09	BUY	No	0.96	39	$37.85
16:05:09	BUY	No	0.96	40	$38.40
12:26:22	SELL	Yes	0.04	60	$2.40
11:24:24	BUY	Yes	0.0449218749	111	$5.00
10:00:42	BUY	Yes	0.027	60	$1.62
10:00:42	SELL	Yes	0.027	153	$4.13
07:15:10	SELL	Yes	0.0335445118	571	$19.15
06:47:48	SELL	Yes	0.038	40	$1.52
06:19:01	SELL	Yes	0.038	3	$0.13
06:15:04	SELL	Yes	0.038	1	$0.05
06:14:55	SELL	Yes	0.038	0	$0.01
06:14:30	BUY	Yes	0.038	50	$1.90
01:03:34	BUY	No	0.973	42	$40.54
01:03:33	BUY	No	0.973	30	$29.19
01:03:33	BUY	No	0.973	10	$9.73
01:03:33	BUY	No	0.972	40	$38.88
18:07:00	BUY	No	0.973	100	$97.30
18:07:00	BUY	No	0.973	215	$208.94
18:07:00	BUY	No	0.9728	45	$43.78