Chrismactom
0x3d7a3f885fde220763aba4a0db32439611bab2e4
- Realised P&L
- $-146.56
- Volume
- $25.1k
- Markets traded
- 639
- Open portfolio
- $37.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded639
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.67at 0.541Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$14.33at 0.454Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
- +$14.06at 0.511Arizona vs. Texas Tech
- +$13.69at 0.025Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$13.48at 0.597Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:27 | Spread: Chiefs (-4.5) | BUY | 0.7099999815 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 21:26 | Chargers vs. Rams | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 20:22 | Browns vs. Steelers | SELL | 0.987 | $14.95 |
| 11-01 18:14 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01? | SELL | 0.977 | $14.58 |
| 11-01 17:50 | Ashton Jeanty: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 17:47 | Browns vs. Steelers | BUY | 0.6599999842 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 17:04 | Vikings vs. Lions: O/U 40.5 | BUY | 0.6699999839 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 16:27 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.6699999839 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 11:32 | Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.6699999839 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 11:32 | Frosinone Calcio vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 22:32 | Texas Team Total: O/U 32.5 | BUY | 0.6146341328 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 22:31 | Miami (FL) vs. North Carolina: O/U 45.5 | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 22:30 | Utah vs. Cincinnati: O/U 51.5 | SELL | 0.9930160858 | $14.82 |
| 10-31 22:30 | Blue Jackets vs. Stars | BUY | 0.629999995 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 19:40 | Utah vs. Cincinnati: O/U 51.5 | BUY | 0.6699999839 | $10.00 |