PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

IceFrosst

0xb2ca88cd9c431a0f1223029088beb0cf4f035fb0

Realised P&L
$1.3k
Volume
$1.04M
Markets traded
339
Open portfolio
$468.44

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded339
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0600.034$165.01$130.51
Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026? · Yes0.6880.220$158.87$337.73
GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.2650.280$144.55+$7.86
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.5490.000$0.00$1.1k
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.2920.000$0.00$63.27
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.1010.000$0.00$35.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 11:45Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?BUY0.7106728979$300.00
09-12 20:45GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027?SELL0.37$59.83
09-12 20:45GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027?SELL0.4$271.18
09-12 08:32Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.7427$89.12
09-12 08:32Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.15$180.00
09-12 08:32Will Grok 5 be released by October 31, 2026?SELL0.8677581732$264.10
09-09 13:43LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.7799999995$201.00
09-09 12:43LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?SELL0.011136$16.70
09-09 12:41LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?BUY0.02492$24.92
09-09 12:41LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?BUY0.029$14.50
09-08 21:41GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027?BUY0.2647665317$359.00
09-08 19:52Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.052$10.38
09-08 19:52Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.0515351462$67.00
09-07 13:35Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.054$22.68
09-07 13:31Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?SELL0.992$9.92