PolyBot

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Will US GDP growth in Q4 2026 be greater than 4.0%?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-29
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.28. Unchanged over the period, from 0.28. Range 0.08 to 0.28. 95 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.393030
0.405585
0.4258143
0.4320163
0.4492255
0.4620275
0.47100375
0.5320395
0.555400
0.62100500
0.6320520
0.6840560

Spread0.21Mid0.29

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.182020
0.16525
0.064065
0.05162227
0.04230457
0.0216473
0.0155528

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.822020
0.84525
0.944065
0.95162227
0.96230457
0.9816473
0.9955528

Spread0.21Mid0.71

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.613030
0.605585
0.5858143
0.5720163
0.5692255
0.5420275
0.53100375
0.4720395
0.455400
0.38100500
0.3720520
0.3240560

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
xtxpleasecallmeYes202.93
bonalddrunkYes114
tradetosurvive1Yes67.83
uprunYes20
pppnnYes13
LornaPredictsYes9.1
GuyFromTinderYes5
urb4nYes5
WarriorHYes2
cmnd7wYes1
0xa5ef…2966No379.56
Leclerc04No23
febbnNo20
SchmiegelowNo12.2
gfdgfvfvssddNo4.74

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
19:19:12BUYNo0.825$4.10
18:52:42BUYNo0.8520$17.00
18:52:42BUYYes0.169999998595$16.21
18:52:42BUYYes0.1721$3.57
18:52:42BUYYes0.1720$3.40
11:12:39BUYNo0.8303410$8.30
11:12:39BUYNo0.8310$8.30
15:05:58SELLYes0.090$0.03
15:05:46BUYYes0.1646$7.36
14:34:49BUYYes0.1917$3.14
13:25:19BUYYes0.1920$3.80
17:14:52BUYNo0.779999993826$20.00
17:04:51BUYNo0.779999993826$20.00
16:48:57BUYNo0.7820$15.60
16:48:57BUYNo0.77999997876$4.39
16:48:57BUYNo0.779999993826$20.00
16:00:25BUYNo0.779999993826$20.00
15:47:55BUYNo0.779999993826$20.00
15:37:54BUYNo0.779999993826$20.00
14:41:39BUYYes0.219999998656$12.24
07:22:34BUYNo0.819999996712$10.00
05:02:33SELLYes0.1820$3.60
04:04:25SELLYes0.183$0.63
04:02:15BUYYes0.1916$3.11
04:02:13BUYNo0.773$1.94