PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x7fed5ae078e8e188c1b560cb60b82461f33c66a7

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
112
Open portfolio
$393.30

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded112
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 40 by November 30? · No0.9000.810$32.40−$3.60
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on December 31, 2026? · No0.8510.772$30.90−$3.14
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of January 2027? · No0.7950.670$26.80−$5.00
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in efficiency (EFF) per game in 2026-27? · No0.6910.608$24.30−$3.34
Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the March meeting? · Yes0.5900.485$19.40−$4.20
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on December 31, 2026? · No0.8820.822$17.04−$1.25
Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027? · No0.9000.830$16.60−$1.40
Will US gas hit $3.95 (Low) in November? · Yes0.5250.400$16.00−$5.00
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5100.395$15.80−$4.60
Will Iran target Jordan by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.4900.385$15.40−$4.20
Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of December 2026? · No0.8700.745$14.90−$2.50
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.55% before 2027? · No0.4300.375$14.83−$2.17
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Maryland be between 2,150,000 and 2,300,000? · Yes0.5320.366$14.66−$6.62
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2026 be greater than 4.0%? · No0.8300.715$14.30−$2.30
Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027? · No0.7400.685$13.70−$1.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 20:30Will Anthropic IPO by November 18, 2026?BUY0.3$12.00
11-02 20:27Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by November 30, 2026?SELL0.28$2.54
11-02 20:27Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by November 30, 2026?BUY0.7241886151$8.52
11-02 20:27Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by November 30, 2026?BUY0.72$13.79
11-02 20:26Israel military action against Iraq by November 30, 2026?BUY0.63$4.41
11-02 20:26Israel military action against Iraq by November 30, 2026?BUY0.62$4.41
11-02 20:26Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?BUY0.54$12.12
11-02 20:26Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?BUY0.54$4.86
11-02 20:26Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?BUY0.54$4.62
11-02 20:23Will You Can See Everything win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.33$1.47
11-02 20:23Will You Can See Everything win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.66$23.45
11-02 20:21Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?BUY0.82$32.80
11-02 20:19Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?BUY0.55$11.00
11-02 20:13Will Democrats win 9 or more of the US House seats bordering Mexico in the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.84$33.60
11-02 20:07Will US gas hit $4.00 (Low) in November?BUY0.51$9.20