PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

urb4n

0xc85371ada5e5182ddb294ebd27608cb0f4c90e2c

Realised P&L
$-20.11
Volume
$3.6k
Markets traded
67
Open portfolio
$21.05

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded67
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 21:02Will Lennar Corp (LEN) beat quarterly earnings?SELL0.0016$0.02
09-15 08:11Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens by September 15, 2026?SELL0.04$0.40
09-12 13:27Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 38m?SELL0.003$0.03
09-12 13:27Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m?SELL0.002$0.02
09-12 13:27Will "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5m?SELL0.0094367816$0.08
09-11 19:16Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 12, 2026?SELL0.003$0.03
09-11 08:39Will "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5m?SELL0.21$0.27
09-11 03:53Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens by September 21, 2026?SELL0.979$0.99
08-27 20:01Will Workday (WDAY) beat quarterly earnings?SELL0.99$9.90
08-26 20:12Will Okta (OKTA) beat quarterly earnings?SELL0.999$29.97
08-13 17:32Will Alibaba (BABA) beat quarterly earnings?SELL0.17$0.35
08-06 21:57Will Airbnb say "Domestic" during earnings call?SELL0.03092$0.15
08-06 21:56Will Airbnb say "Domestic" during earnings call?SELL0.0545466667$0.82
08-06 21:54Will Airbnb say "International" during earnings call?SELL0.99$19.80
08-02 12:32Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026?SELL0.91$1.82