PolyBot

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Will Trump say "Melania" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-24
Rewards
100 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.57. up 0.30 over the period, from 0.27. Range 0.27 to 0.60. 39 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.65200200
0.6629229
0.67150379
0.9310389
0.9610399
0.9738437
0.98100537
0.9971608

Spread0.04Mid0.63

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.61368368
0.58241609
0.571,0001,609
0.561401,749
0.551351,884
0.548172,701
0.532002,901
0.0252,906
0.01662,973

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.39368368
0.42241609
0.431,0001,609
0.441401,749
0.451351,884
0.468172,701
0.472002,901
0.9852,906
0.99662,973

Spread0.04Mid0.37

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.35200200
0.3429229
0.33150379
0.0710389
0.0410399
0.0338437
0.02100537
0.0171608

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Optimus-Yes1,818.18
clazzy1Yes510.01
cooljitYes232
KLccKrisYes222.39
0xaa6DYes200.78
Askeladd.Yes181.82
LatramposaYes181.82
Judea-PearlYes181.8
0x1AAc8DA953333450DF04882210D047583F2B66FB-1774010861675Yes100
gimboboYes100
Veetu1234Yes94
BotadouroYes90
chessplayerYes60
title1Yes52.85
HaradwaithYes50.1
CycloneYes50
DredgertonYes47
0x3aD146a7daE2dBab2281c7e351beDCE11748b4C5-1771629524936Yes45.89
.heartYes36.35
TrumppickerYes35.71

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
13:36:38SELLYes0.6210$6.20
13:36:33SELLYes0.6210$6.20
13:36:06BUYYes0.5850$29.00
13:26:38BUYYes0.57100$57.00
13:24:24BUYYes0.56223$124.80
13:19:08SELLNo0.4431$13.45
13:18:20BUYYes0.559999995536$20.00
13:16:32SELLNo0.4410$4.47
13:16:18SELLNo0.4441$17.91
13:10:39SELLYes0.5518$10.08
13:10:23SELLYes0.55411$225.79
13:07:57BUYYes0.55182$99.92
13:05:47BUYYes0.549999991818$10.08
13:05:24BUYYes0.5499999995182$100.00
12:50:15SELLYes0.542$1.05
12:47:33SELLNo0.457$3.11
12:46:47SELLYes0.549$4.77
12:43:42BUYNo0.45999999779$4.06
12:40:38BUYYes0.5547$25.85
12:35:23BUYYes0.5529$15.95
12:27:48SELLNo0.458$3.58
12:27:46BUYYes0.549999999102$56.00
12:27:45SELLNo0.45700$315.00
12:15:09BUYYes0.5499999454$2.00
12:11:54BUYYes0.549999999596$52.64