PolyBot

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Traders

Trumppicker

0x80324cd0c823e018bf427c7365724656f1057c6c

Realised P&L
$549.23
Volume
$269.9k
Markets traded
766
Open portfolio
$63.57

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded766
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1210.165$33.99+$8.99
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3100.165$26.61$23.39
Christopher Luxon out by September 30? · Yes0.5140.015$2.72$87.28
Will Chris Wright be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? · Yes0.0590.002$0.25$9.75
Will Trump say "Transgender" during Coast Guard event? · Yes0.2770.000$0.00$20.00
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? · Yes0.5360.000$0.00$30.00
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? · No0.6870.000$0.00$50.00
Will Trump say "Socialist" during cabinet meeting? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00$15.00
Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 10+ times during cabinet meeting? · No0.6100.000$0.00$20.00
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$15.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4090.000$0.00$20.00
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$15.00
Starmer out by July 31, 2026? · No0.3930.000$0.00$50.00
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15? · Yes0.7390.000$0.00$100.00
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" during Speech to the Nation? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$15.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-11 12:40Christopher Luxon out by September 30?BUY0.5799999988$50.00
08-11 00:55Christopher Luxon out by September 30?BUY0.4493159115$40.00
08-10 17:09Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?BUY0.6$30.00
08-10 11:54Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?SELL0.3509230201$38.02
08-09 18:25Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?BUY0.3099999907$15.00
08-09 11:56Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?BUY0.25$14.99
08-08 15:17Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?SELL0.997$48.23
08-08 12:11Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?SELL0.24$24.31
08-08 12:01Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?BUY0.6199999942$30.00
07-31 21:28Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.3299999939$35.00
07-31 13:50Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during cabinet meeting?BUY0.5399999935$25.00
07-31 13:50Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 10+ times during cabinet meeting?BUY0.6099999927$20.00
07-31 13:49Will Trump say "Socialist" during cabinet meeting?BUY0.449999988$15.00
07-31 13:48Will Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" 10+ times during cabinet meeting?BUY0.6999999972$25.00
07-29 00:19Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?BUY0.2409999934$20.00