Askeladd.
0x15d1e0476012dc9ae28060da02ddfc3129a6ec0f
- Realised P&L
- $2.9k
- Volume
- $110.8k
- Markets traded
- 353
- Open portfolio
- $4.0k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded353
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$622.22at 0.540U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?
- +$503.20at 0.481Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by September 30, 2026?
- +$413.84at 0.434Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026?
- +$373.55at 0.519Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026?
- +$366.09at 0.521Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:13 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999983 | $67.00 |
| 11-01 12:49 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.B. Pritzker by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9370595655 | $25.00 |
| 11-01 10:35 | Israeli election results in a hung parliament? | BUY | 0.5199999972 | $75.00 |
| 11-01 10:34 | Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.5999999952 | $25.00 |
| 11-01 10:05 | Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $21.12 |
| 11-01 09:45 | Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 30? | BUY | 0.6840668974 | $133.00 |
| 10-31 23:58 | Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31? | SELL | 0.64 | $22.45 |
| 10-31 23:57 | Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.651843638 | $58.20 |
| 10-31 23:52 | Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9852963295 | $109.79 |
| 10-31 22:59 | Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by October 31? | SELL | 0.89 | $57.41 |
| 10-31 22:59 | Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.9637438808 | $124.81 |
| 10-31 22:52 | Will it snow in Denver, CO by October 31? | SELL | 0.83 | $15.75 |
| 10-31 22:52 | Will the Bank of Russia announce no change at the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.69 | $13.80 |
| 10-31 22:39 | Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31? | SELL | 0.9677530688 | $128.51 |
| 10-31 22:39 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | SELL | 0.8265203878 | $111.69 |