PolyBot

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Will Trump say "Ballroom" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-24

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.005. down 0.244 over the period, from 0.250. Range 0.005 to 0.405. 41 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.010120120
0.0398128
0.0405133
0.20910143
0.21318160
0.26610170
0.26740210
0.28016226
0.289236462
0.290159621
0.3005551,176
0.3301181,294

Spread0.009Mid0.005

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.001210210

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.999210210

Spread0.009Mid0.994

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.990120120
0.9618128
0.9605133
0.79110143
0.78718160
0.73410170
0.73340210
0.72016226
0.711236462
0.710159621
0.7005551,176
0.6701181,294

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Optimus-Yes1,504
blahblahfjdbYes370.16
honeylemon7Yes199.97
HaradwaithYes183.99
sbsevYes160
Judea-PearlYes150.4
pootytherewardfarmerYes103.47
TrumppickerYes74.07
.MentheYes50
0x01E8dd7FbfCdd0a01D8F0bdC359A476a414c79DC-1772657272806Yes29.41
PlatykurticYes29
0x386f84A1684b46E99B488A1f45B5F97e93C3db83-1771535753864Yes25.43
qcp7Yes24
a5533Yes19.99
SuperMisterYes18.74
0x08fF96484c5d3ECCa8A2D416C1CC1F29e3C9dB60-1775118744911Yes14
0x716d…70a8Yes14
n00beeYes12.54
rocky42013Yes11.48
AintNoWayYes10

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
15:02:03BUYNo0.99950$50.00
14:50:36SELLYes0.00125$0.02
14:48:21BUYNo0.9995$5.00
14:48:20BUYNo0.999100$100.00
14:43:00BUYYes0.01118$1.18
14:42:47SELLNo0.9915$14.85
14:36:23SELLNo0.992$1.73
14:33:15BUYNo0.9923$23.14
14:33:14BUYNo0.985495570212$11.88
14:33:14BUYNo0.97123$118.83
14:32:54BUYNo0.9620$19.20
14:32:11SELLYes0.0350$1.50
14:30:53BUYNo0.8924$21.80
14:30:42BUYNo0.8915$13.35
14:26:48BUYNo0.736$4.38
14:26:18BUYYes0.274$1.08
14:25:38BUYYes0.275$1.35
14:25:38BUYYes0.27999994724$1.06
14:25:36BUYYes0.262844827629$7.62
14:24:29BUYYes0.2512$2.94
14:17:34BUYYes0.266798415319$5.00
14:06:41BUYNo0.7450814244148$110.26
13:46:30BUYNo0.72999985742$1.28
13:39:51BUYNo0.72999981021$1.00
13:39:14BUYNo0.72999981021$1.00