AintNoWay
0x2388451ab19fd375f69e59ef035e1f5bbd6b24fd
- Realised P&L
- $-137.93
- Volume
- $58.5k
- Markets traded
- 140
- Open portfolio
- $214.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded140
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$120.39at 0.170US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
- +$96.56at 0.025Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?
- +$93.69at 0.160Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in December?
- +$83.70at 0.070Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?
- +$56.01at 0.376Will Barcelona win La Liga?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 15:13 | Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.031 | $1.02 |
| 10-17 15:11 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.36 | $5.40 |
| 10-10 13:01 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10? | SELL | 0.86 | $19.54 |
| 10-10 12:48 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.2199999974 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 10:13 | Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.031 | $5.07 |
| 10-03 08:38 | Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.78 | $7.80 |
| 10-02 05:41 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BUY | 0.07 | $70.00 |
| 10-02 05:39 | Will Manchester City finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | SELL | 0.63 | $97.65 |
| 10-02 05:38 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.82 | $114.47 |
| 09-27 13:02 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? | BUY | 0.009 | $1.01 |
| 09-25 14:11 | Will Manchester City finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | BUY | 0.31 | $38.75 |
| 09-25 14:10 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.60 |
| 09-25 14:10 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.081 | $4.70 |
| 09-25 14:10 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.06 | $11.76 |
| 09-25 14:10 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.152 | $11.86 |