Will there be at least 3600+ measles cases in the U.S. by September 30, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-01
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.56. up 0.06 over the period, from 0.50. Range 0.20 to 0.72. 40 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.57	40	40
0.59	20	60
0.70	30	90
0.74	5	95
0.75	100	195
0.79	5	200
0.80	150	350
0.87	100	450
0.88	50	500
0.89	100	600
0.91	50	650
0.95	100	750

Spread0.02Mid0.56

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.55	65	65
0.53	220	285
0.31	20	305
0.10	5	310
0.09	100	410
0.04	250	660
0.03	21	681
0.01	255	936

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.45	65	65
0.47	220	285
0.69	20	305
0.90	5	310
0.91	100	410
0.96	250	660
0.97	21	681
0.99	255	936

Spread0.02Mid0.44

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.43	40	40
0.41	20	60
0.30	30	90
0.26	5	95
0.25	100	195
0.21	5	200
0.20	150	350
0.13	100	450
0.12	50	500
0.11	100	600
0.09	50	650
0.05	100	750

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
St3f	Yes	37.35
0xf51b…ca1b	Yes	25
AJSV	Yes	22.65
fElon	Yes	20
feecenter	Yes	20
daniel122134	Yes	2.59
Y4n4pol	No	55
0x5F3ee9c40Be255D1C18cA38bf4Ab94b564C75337-1776862065527	No	30
0x07e0d594bd1493576DAAc8FB0e2189Fd2e01Ac5C-1777214204168	No	20
dayandnight005	No	20
johnsaint	No	2.59

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
04:03:37	SELL	No	0.43	5	$2.15
03:48:18	SELL	No	0.44	15	$6.60
03:48:16	BUY	Yes	0.552	25	$13.80
03:45:15	SELL	No	0.45	20	$9.00
03:20:52	BUY	Yes	0.5446666667	75	$40.85
03:17:09	SELL	Yes	0.51	20	$10.20
03:17:04	SELL	Yes	0.51	20	$10.20
03:17:00	SELL	Yes	0.51	20	$10.20
02:10:31	BUY	Yes	0.52	20	$10.40
23:27:52	BUY	Yes	0.5799999768	3	$1.50
22:42:00	BUY	No	0.46	20	$9.20
22:41:57	BUY	Yes	0.54	20	$10.80
17:13:54	BUY	No	0.55	50	$27.50
17:13:16	BUY	No	0.54	5	$2.70
02:37:09	BUY	No	0.605312085	38	$22.79
01:33:33	BUY	Yes	0.39	20	$7.80