johnsaint
0x720000acef25a02f64f850ece326563ded33ac12
- Realised P&L
- $-99.31
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $70.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.35at 0.610Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?
- +$0.82at 0.440Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 18?
- +$0.60at 0.110Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have between 158 and 162 seats after the 2026 election?
- +$-0.01at 0.500Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 18?
- +$-0.07at 0.073Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 50 million or more views in week 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 05:28 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 18? | SELL | 0.42 | $4.50 |
| 09-17 01:29 | Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by September 30? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 09-17 00:33 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? | SELL | 0.14 | $2.80 |
| 09-17 00:23 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 39.5 and 40.0 million views on day 5? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.28 |
| 09-17 00:15 | Will Bryan Reynolds lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season? | SELL | 0.1433348348 | $2.86 |
| 09-16 23:52 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% in September? | SELL | 0.024 | $0.46 |
| 09-16 23:51 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% in September? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.42 |
| 09-16 23:31 | Will "The Weight" score at least 88 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.60 |
| 09-16 23:07 | Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by October 31? | SELL | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 09-16 22:49 | Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by September 15? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.22 |
| 09-16 22:44 | Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by September 30? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.80 |
| 09-16 22:44 | Will "The Weight" score at least 88 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.60 |
| 09-16 22:33 | Will "The Weight" score at least 88 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.60 |
| 09-16 22:29 | Will Bruce Blakeman win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 09-16 22:25 | Will "The Weight" score at least 88 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.60 |