Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-12-31
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.04. Unchanged over the period, from 0.04. Range 0.04 to 0.04. 158 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.05	279	279
0.06	1,183	1,462
0.07	351	1,813
0.08	190	2,003
0.09	120	2,123
0.10	120	2,243
0.11	20	2,263
0.12	25	2,288
0.13	35	2,323
0.14	30	2,353
0.15	20	2,373
0.16	10	2,383

Spread0.01Mid0.04

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.04	1,024	1,024
0.03	884	1,908
0.02	390	2,298
0.01	1,850	4,148

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.96	1,024	1,024
0.97	884	1,908
0.98	390	2,298
0.99	1,850	4,148

Spread0.01Mid0.95

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.95	279	279
0.94	1,183	1,462
0.93	351	1,813
0.92	190	2,003
0.91	120	2,123
0.90	120	2,243
0.89	20	2,263
0.88	25	2,288
0.87	35	2,323
0.86	30	2,353
0.85	20	2,373
0.84	10	2,383

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Morphers	Yes	1,269.95
smap	Yes	465.91
Ahoetah	Yes	400
Cold070	Yes	398.7
0x61A6b23c59Dc8646F42662A206A717ba28c8dE5F-1781352645662	Yes	257.26
BeefDerky	Yes	216.5
0xD4aF5BC236bfbb39FB593EE816c5De52107c66da-1775425216428	Yes	200
rocky42005	Yes	196.05
0xA8c443Bb5026C2Bda115cFdd6eecFA50991C292B-1772548953896	Yes	101.5
ScottVan	Yes	100.01
TheBigMuscle	Yes	83
0x52968f8783027bEaE11728C1FBaC057dE1cd6D7B-1763969850506	Yes	79.9
0x4507…c7e6	Yes	53.13
studmuffin6969	Yes	50
gellej	Yes	48.72
LBZbot2	Yes	40
AJSV	Yes	34.59
Lavincey	Yes	32.57
Dr.PNL	Yes	31.1
daroghi	Yes	30

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
15:32:42	SELL	No	0.95	153	$145.31
04:15:17	SELL	Yes	0.04	90	$3.60
02:13:41	SELL	No	0.95	1	$0.99
02:13:39	SELL	No	0.95	1	$0.99
02:13:36	SELL	No	0.95	1	$0.99
02:13:33	SELL	No	0.95	1	$0.99
02:13:30	SELL	No	0.95	1	$0.99
02:01:02	BUY	No	0.959999616	1	$1.00
02:01:02	BUY	No	0.959999616	1	$1.00
02:01:00	BUY	No	0.959999616	1	$1.00
02:00:57	BUY	No	0.959999616	1	$1.00
02:00:57	BUY	No	0.959999616	1	$1.00
10:20:17	SELL	Yes	0.04	200	$8.00
03:18:54	SELL	No	0.95	1	$0.99
03:18:35	SELL	No	0.95	1	$0.99
03:18:33	SELL	No	0.95	1	$0.99
03:18:33	SELL	No	0.95	1	$0.99
02:49:03	BUY	No	0.959999616	1	$1.00
02:48:57	BUY	No	0.959999616	1	$1.00
02:48:53	BUY	No	0.959999616	1	$1.00
02:48:51	BUY	No	0.959999616	1	$1.00
10:08:22	BUY	Yes	0.05	200	$10.00
03:13:15	SELL	No	0.94	1	$0.98
03:13:12	SELL	No	0.94	1	$0.98
03:13:12	SELL	No	0.94	1	$0.98