PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

tinyyyyy1

0x8467aa139e082c8d4eeb922c98134d862f92d3ed

Realised P&L
$-832.27
Volume
$37.1k
Markets traded
838
Open portfolio
$421.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded838
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $7.5B by December 31? · Yes0.6700.420$21.00−$12.50
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2027? · No0.8000.645$12.90−$3.10
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher? · No0.7700.640$12.80−$2.60
Will Arizona have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · No0.7300.630$12.60−$2.00
Will Dalton Kincaid have 3.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.7400.625$12.50−$2.30
Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los be eliminated by magic? · No0.8000.610$12.20−$3.80
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-05 House election by 10%-15%? · No0.7800.600$12.00−$3.60
Will Louisville have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · No0.7100.600$12.00−$2.20
Will Nebraska have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · No0.7200.595$11.90−$2.50
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 7, 2026? · Yes0.7500.585$11.70−$3.30
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by October 31, 2026? · No0.7100.555$11.10−$3.10
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas? · Yes0.8200.555$11.10−$5.30
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6500.540$10.80−$2.20
Will Jared Goff have 4,099.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.7100.525$10.50−$3.70
Will Kyren Williams finish as a top-5 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season? · No0.7600.515$10.30−$4.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 05:54Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $197 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.24$4.80
10-06 05:51Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.69$13.80
10-06 05:51Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Sean Strickland next?BUY0.2$4.00
10-06 05:45Will Sweden win 2026-27 Nations League Group B4?BUY0.18$0.70
10-06 05:43Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September?BUY0.35$5.50
10-06 05:31Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026?BUY0.61$12.20
10-06 05:28Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $336 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.7299999087$2.00
10-06 05:22Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?BUY0.45$9.00
10-06 05:17Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31?BUY0.45$9.00
10-06 05:13Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $30 in 2026?BUY0.13$5.11
10-06 05:13Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada Attorney General election?BUY0.198$3.96
10-06 05:09Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by December 31?BUY0.38$13.30
10-06 05:06Will "Street Fighter" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.69$6.90
10-06 05:02Will the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks win the 2026 Japan Series?BUY0.619999916$1.92
10-06 05:02U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?BUY0.63$12.60