Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-01

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.004. down 0.002 over the period, from 0.006. Range 0.002 to 0.018. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.005	2,581	2,581
0.006	18,697	21,278
0.007	18,153	39,431
0.008	41,101	80,532
0.009	37,329	117,861
0.011	5	117,866
0.012	8	117,874
0.013	3,281	121,155
0.014	2,987	124,142
0.015	8,293	132,435
0.016	40,808	173,243
0.017	25,350	198,593

Spread0.001Mid0.005

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.004	25,512	25,512
0.003	79,363	104,875
0.002	90,994	195,869
0.001	251,710	447,579

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.996	25,512	25,512
0.997	79,363	104,875
0.998	90,994	195,869
0.999	251,710	447,579

Spread0.001Mid0.996

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.995	2,581	2,581
0.994	18,697	21,278
0.993	18,153	39,431
0.992	41,101	80,532
0.991	37,329	117,861
0.989	5	117,866
0.988	8	117,874
0.987	3,281	121,155
0.986	2,987	124,142
0.985	8,293	132,435
0.984	40,808	173,243
0.983	25,350	198,593

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
lifeswhatyoumakeit	Yes	310,365.07
xasd-440	Yes	188,284.89
angelsdemons	Yes	94,791.16
UAPB	Yes	68,997.18
Virgiledumont	Yes	66,712
6spirit9	Yes	45,833
KAU7	Yes	43,216.05
Ferwhere	Yes	42,492.43
pokerman17	Yes	37,760.27
StefVie	Yes	35,462.88
What.Could.Thing.7	Yes	34,481.62
0x115A63c208278A576150176880F48F064c94e4A6-1766247046507	Yes	32,218.52
0x392b5AbCb6514E56F04d166b9Cb535082BA9352a-1778103841807	Yes	29,871.68
0xe74247cB6e52D05EEf7390005fe8434D217FadB0-1771531164997	Yes	28,300.96
kx36	Yes	25,568.01
wAliens	Yes	23,426.02
Bobmand1	Yes	19,991.8
MattWalker	Yes	18,794.24
Mantronix	Yes	16,669.94
Jmkfearless	Yes	15,248.34

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
02:02:48	SELL	No	0.995	19	$18.92
02:01:46	BUY	No	0.995	152	$151.35
01:53:12	BUY	No	0.9949999092	1	$1.15
00:35:04	BUY	Yes	0.006	5,072	$30.43
20:21:28	SELL	No	0.994	15	$14.86
19:13:12	BUY	No	0.995	20	$19.90
16:57:37	SELL	No	0.994	21	$20.42
16:47:18	BUY	Yes	0.006	1,212	$7.27
16:13:48	SELL	No	0.994	200	$198.80
14:58:24	SELL	No	0.994	20	$19.88
14:54:49	BUY	Yes	0.006	167	$1.00
14:07:33	BUY	Yes	0.0058677617	4,985	$29.25
13:31:46	BUY	No	0.996	20	$19.92
12:15:57	SELL	Yes	0.005	444	$2.22
12:04:04	BUY	No	0.995	8	$8.00
11:57:57	BUY	No	0.995	151	$150.00
11:50:48	SELL	No	0.994	448	$445.65
11:41:57	BUY	No	0.995	8	$8.00
11:41:06	BUY	No	0.995	114	$113.00
11:32:33	SELL	No	0.994	3	$2.49
11:32:19	BUY	No	0.9949999264	3	$2.50
11:11:49	SELL	No	0.994	860	$854.84
11:10:33	SELL	No	0.994	21	$20.87
11:09:07	BUY	No	0.9949999882	80	$80.00
10:17:18	BUY	No	0.995	8	$7.96