Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-09-30
Rewards: 200 min size · 3.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.019. down 0.007 over the period, from 0.026. Range 0.011 to 0.026. 159 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.020	1,185	1,185
0.021	1,763	2,948
0.022	10,516	13,464
0.024	6,139	19,603
0.025	5,225	24,828
0.026	6,000	30,828
0.027	5,898	36,726
0.028	6,500	43,226
0.029	1,500	44,726
0.030	1,155	45,881
0.031	5,000	50,881
0.040	995	51,876

Spread0.002Mid0.019

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.018	39,220	39,220
0.017	6,200	45,420
0.016	2,333	47,752
0.015	5,021	52,774
0.014	6,447	59,221
0.013	6,606	65,827
0.012	25,525	91,352
0.011	23,622	114,974
0.010	41,367	156,341
0.009	70,856	227,197
0.008	2,021	229,218
0.007	52,245	281,462

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.982	39,220	39,220
0.983	6,200	45,420
0.984	2,333	47,752
0.985	5,021	52,774
0.986	6,447	59,221
0.987	6,606	65,827
0.988	25,525	91,352
0.989	23,622	114,974
0.990	41,367	156,341
0.991	70,856	227,197
0.992	2,021	229,218
0.993	52,245	281,462

Spread0.002Mid0.981

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.980	1,185	1,185
0.979	1,763	2,948
0.978	10,516	13,464
0.976	6,139	19,603
0.975	5,225	24,828
0.974	6,000	30,828
0.973	5,898	36,726
0.972	6,500	43,226
0.971	1,500	44,726
0.970	1,155	45,881
0.969	5,000	50,881
0.960	995	51,876

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
xasd-440	Yes	188,284.89
relentless2241	Yes	61,320.03
Ferwhere	Yes	42,492.43
pokerman17	Yes	37,760.27
0x115A63c208278A576150176880F48F064c94e4A6-1766247046507	Yes	37,218.52
Virgiledumont	Yes	37,189.3
StefVie	Yes	35,462.88
0x392b5AbCb6514E56F04d166b9Cb535082BA9352a-1778103841807	Yes	34,999.74
What.Could.Thing.7	Yes	34,361.62
lifeswhatyoumakeit	Yes	31,290.95
angelsdemons	Yes	30,626.62
0xe74247cB6e52D05EEf7390005fe8434D217FadB0-1771531164997	Yes	28,300.96
JohanDON	Yes	20,440.03
Bobmand1	Yes	19,991.8
MattWalker	Yes	17,794.24
Sitdownandrelax	Yes	17,096.82
Mantronix	Yes	16,669.94
KAU7	Yes	15,494.79
mentoid	Yes	14,868.77
PMuser72	Yes	14,205.09

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
00:21:24	BUY	No	0.982	526	$516.18
00:10:38	BUY	No	0.981	794	$779.06
23:25:18	BUY	No	0.9809999989	10	$10.00
22:40:18	BUY	Yes	0.0204117543	13,092	$267.24
21:21:41	SELL	No	0.98	26	$25.54
18:13:51	BUY	Yes	0.019	374	$7.11
18:06:00	BUY	No	0.9819995283	1	$1.02
17:37:03	BUY	No	0.9819993726	1	$1.08
17:20:33	BUY	No	0.9819998131	1	$1.03
16:08:36	BUY	Yes	0.0189999963	263	$5.00
13:51:44	SELL	No	0.981	1	$1.00
13:15:29	SELL	No	0.981	21	$20.65
13:13:26	BUY	No	0.982	1,100	$1080.20
13:11:17	BUY	No	0.982	56	$54.59
13:05:06	SELL	No	0.981	25	$24.74
13:03:24	SELL	No	0.981	5	$4.47
13:03:24	SELL	No	0.981	25	$24.67
13:03:03	SELL	No	0.981	1,847	$1811.80
11:49:11	BUY	No	0.982	7	$6.87
11:37:57	BUY	Yes	0.019	2,339	$44.44
11:31:03	BUY	No	0.9819997779	2	$1.99
11:21:48	BUY	No	0.9819999367	8	$8.00
09:13:35	SELL	No	0.981	42	$40.71
09:13:12	BUY	No	0.982	42	$41.24
08:26:45	BUY	No	0.982	250	$245.50