PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

kx36

0x049b3f23c93ef476152f5ce7c9be2f5219b85a12

Realised P&L
$13.9k
Volume
$1.42M
Markets traded
263
Open portfolio
$120.17

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded263
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration83.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration95.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes0.0180.004$115.06$345.17
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.105$1.05$0.05
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.065$0.97$0.07
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0500.045$0.90$0.10
Will Solana dip to $80 in September? · Yes0.1400.065$0.52$0.60
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.095$0.47$0.33
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.065$0.33$0.07
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September? · Yes0.0370.011$0.32$0.71
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in September? · Yes0.0800.050$0.25$0.15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18? · Yes0.0130.022$0.23+$0.10
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 September 14-20? · Yes0.1800.015$0.07$0.82
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$1.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on September 15? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$0.30
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on September 15? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$0.23
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on September 16? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00$0.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 16:53Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.1199999904$1.00
09-16 16:35Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on September 17?SELL0.024$0.12
09-16 10:10Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on September 17?BUY0.022$0.11
09-15 20:40Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?SELL0.3$2.10
09-15 16:40Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?BUY0.037$1.04
09-15 16:29Will Solana dip to $80 in September?BUY0.14$1.12
09-15 16:27Will Solana dip to $90 in September?BUY0.39$0.24
09-15 16:25Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.11$1.10
09-15 06:06Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 16?BUY0.005$1.00
09-15 06:00Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 14-20?SELL0.3$1.50
09-15 05:57Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 15?BUY0.24$1.20
09-14 20:23Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 15?BUY0.33$1.65
09-14 19:33Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 15?BUY0.19$1.14
09-14 16:21Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 15?BUY0.022$1.01
09-14 16:17Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.07$1.05