lifeswhatyoumakeit
0xa829e599a27dfee252ba5294eb1fdecbed15691d
- Realised P&L
- $-13.0k
- Volume
- $2.27M
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $5.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.051 | 0.029 | $5.2k | −$4.1k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-709.36at 0.013Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 14:37 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.042 | $1.72 |
| 10-26 14:37 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? | SELL | 0.005 | $1.71 |
| 10-26 14:36 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.042 | $8.99 |
| 10-26 14:34 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.041 | $159.80 |
| 10-26 14:33 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? | SELL | 0.005 | $2.00 |
| 10-26 14:32 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? | SELL | 0.005 | $18.12 |
| 10-26 14:32 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? | SELL | 0.0050870696 | $148.64 |
| 10-21 08:09 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.045 | $30.33 |
| 10-21 08:08 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.044 | $119.46 |
| 10-21 08:08 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.043 | $51.32 |
| 10-21 07:57 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? | SELL | 0.004 | $201.08 |
| 10-10 08:17 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? | BUY | 0.014 | $7.29 |
| 10-10 08:16 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? | BUY | 0.013 | $153.59 |
| 10-10 08:16 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? | BUY | 0.012 | $100.02 |
| 10-09 07:50 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? | BUY | 0.02 | $66.27 |