0xe74247cB6e52D05EEf7390005fe8434D217FadB0-1771531164997
0xe74247cb6e52d05eef7390005fe8434d217fadb0
- Realised P&L
- $-4.4k
- Volume
- $486.1k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $665.07
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes | 0.135 | 0.024 | $665.07 | −$3.2k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$117.13 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.6k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? · Yes | 0.053 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.2k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.2kat 0.120Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 19:56 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.1299999995 | $207.70 |
| 05-08 19:55 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | SELL | 0.033 | $224.58 |
| 05-08 18:14 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.129999999 | $100.35 |
| 05-08 17:22 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.139999999 | $113.11 |
| 05-08 17:21 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.13 | $3.29 |
| 05-08 16:19 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.13 | $7.28 |
| 05-08 16:17 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.14 | $878.86 |
| 05-08 16:16 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.14 | $999.88 |
| 05-08 16:15 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | BUY | 0.07 | $145.69 |
| 05-08 15:11 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | SELL | 0.038 | $42.54 |
| 05-08 15:04 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | SELL | 0.039 | $15.11 |
| 05-08 14:58 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.13 | $160.17 |
| 05-08 14:53 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | SELL | 0.036 | $87.97 |
| 05-06 01:13 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | BUY | 0.0289957854 | $286.75 |
| 05-05 18:57 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | BUY | 0.023 | $5.56 |