Jmkfearless
0x12c32ed9e3aac04dbc365a05b6dadd5ba56ba470
- Realised P&L
- $-30.5k
- Volume
- $1.12M
- Markets traded
- 964
- Open portfolio
- $166.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded964
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.7kat 0.011Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 7PM ET
- +$2.9kat 0.354Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
- +$2.8kat 0.454Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
- +$2.7kat 0.099Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7AM ET
- +$2.7kat 0.342Solana Up or Down - January 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-18 18:23 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.047723306 | $115.57 |
| 08-18 18:23 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.0199516732 | $200.00 |
| 08-08 13:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 13:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 13:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 13:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 13:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 13:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 13:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 13:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 13:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 13:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 13:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 13:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 13:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |