PolyBot

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Traders

Jmkfearless

0x12c32ed9e3aac04dbc365a05b6dadd5ba56ba470

Realised P&L
$-30.5k
Volume
$1.12M
Markets traded
964
Open portfolio
$166.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded964
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.0480.041$98.08$17.49
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes0.0260.004$68.62$331.37
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) · Cowboys0.5500.000$0.00$200.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET · Up0.4900.000$0.00$267.41
Colombia leading at halftime? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET · Down0.3500.000$0.00$40.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET · Down0.1670.000$0.00$250.00
XRP Up or Down - January 18, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET · Up0.4250.000$0.00$222.92
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET · Down0.5100.000$0.00$94.56
XRP Up or Down - January 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET · Down0.4860.000$0.00$187.12
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET · Up0.4840.000$0.00$340.96
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 11PM ET · Up0.2930.000$0.00$200.00
XRP Up or Down - January 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET · Up0.1640.000$0.00$114.68
Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 3AM ET · Up0.3570.000$0.00$25.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET · Up0.1910.000$0.00$115.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-18 18:23Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.047723306$115.57
08-18 18:23Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.0199516732$200.00
08-08 13:37Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETBUY0.16$1.00
08-08 13:37Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETBUY0.1699998861$1.00
08-08 13:37Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETBUY0.16$1.00
08-08 13:37Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETBUY0.16$1.00
08-08 13:37Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETBUY0.16$1.00
08-08 13:37Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETBUY0.16$1.00
08-08 13:37Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETBUY0.16$1.00
08-08 13:37Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETBUY0.1799998704$1.00
08-08 13:37Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETBUY0.16$1.00
08-08 13:37Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETBUY0.1799998704$1.00
08-08 13:37Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETBUY0.1799998704$1.00
08-08 13:37Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETBUY0.1899998784$1.00
08-08 13:37Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETBUY0.2$1.00