PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 5.25% at the end of 2027?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2028-01-01
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.14. down 0.11 over the period, from 0.24. Range 0.06 to 0.39. 46 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.14564564
0.15311875
0.1642917
0.1960977
0.205982
0.21311,013
0.27451,058
0.28301,088
0.451501,238
0.462501,488
0.527522,240
0.584022,642

Spread0.01Mid0.14

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.13527527
0.12223750
0.11198947
0.103151,262
0.07711,333
0.06831,417
0.051001,517
0.046252,142
0.031,5003,641
0.021,5005,141
0.013,3228,463

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.87527527
0.88223750
0.89198947
0.903151,262
0.93711,333
0.94831,417
0.951001,517
0.966252,142
0.971,5003,641
0.981,5005,141
0.993,3228,463

Spread0.01Mid0.86

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.86564564
0.85311875
0.8442917
0.8160977
0.805982
0.79311,013
0.73451,058
0.72301,088
0.551501,238
0.542501,488
0.487522,240
0.424022,642

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Numitus1994Yes93.98
0x688B15F0B28ED993dba8EE14F3485ddbB55349F5-1774551591274Yes71
AJSVYes28.9
rocky42024Yes10
lolzzzlolYes4.55
HaradwaithNo90.76
0xa5ef…2966No56.68
PitosyflautasNo21
ramc2005No20
cigarettesNo20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
14:09:39SELLYes0.130$0.02
13:21:39SELLYes0.130$0.02
13:21:36SELLNo0.862$1.55
08:35:41BUYNo0.8710$8.70
08:35:41SELLYes0.1310$1.30
08:35:32BUYNo0.8710$8.70
08:35:32BUYNo0.8710$8.70
08:34:50SELLYes0.130$0.02
01:39:50SELLNo0.8808900757112$98.97
01:34:51BUYYes0.1110$1.10
01:13:20SELLYes0.120$2.00
01:13:15SELLYes0.140$4.00
01:13:14BUYNo0.96$5.26
01:13:12BUYNo0.889999997214$12.61
01:13:12BUYNo0.8920$17.80
01:13:12BUYNo0.8920$17.80
01:13:12BUYNo0.8899999996112$100.00
01:13:12BUYNo0.889999997722$19.40
01:13:12BUYNo0.914$12.60
01:13:12BUYNo0.914$12.74
19:34:17SELLNo0.861$1.27
14:36:03SELLYes0.142$0.33
14:16:19SELLYes0.112$0.22
14:11:04BUYNo0.884$3.52
14:03:13BUYNo0.882$1.75